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So Brexit seems to be a good thing then.

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Old 28 October 2019, 01:33 PM
  #5521  
BMWhere?
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Originally Posted by Felix.
Great - so another 3 month delay whilst they can work out how to apply for a further 'short' delay after January
Then that delay can be further extended whilst they negotiate why they had a delay in the first place - so they may as well delay it so more

I suggest nothing really constructive will happen between now and January and we will be back to square one again
You're probably right!

My guess is they will have an election and it will return a minority government again and we're no better off!

The only possible way out is if Labour win the election and go into coalition with the Lib Dems/SNP with the promise of a referendum on a deal or remain!
Old 28 October 2019, 01:56 PM
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
You're probably right!

My guess is they will have an election and it will return a minority government again and we're no better off!

The only possible way out is if Labour win the election and go into coalition with the Lib Dems/SNP with the promise of a referendum on a deal or remain!
I think this is a real potential of coming to pass...unless JC is ousted from within, in which case with a more centralist leader Labour could clean up and not require a coalition...especially if one of their GE promises is referendum 2 with meaningful choices.
Old 28 October 2019, 02:06 PM
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
You're probably right!

My guess is they will have an election and it will return a minority government again and we're no better off!

The only possible way out is if Labour win the election and go into coalition with the Lib Dems/SNP with the promise of a referendum on a deal or remain!
Tories will loose out, labour even more as they have swung in the wind. Brexit party will surge, lim dems will gain some and i expect it will end up with a brexit/torrie gov.

thats my guess anyway
Old 28 October 2019, 02:41 PM
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Originally Posted by Tidgy
Tories will loose out, labour even more as they have swung in the wind. Brexit party will surge, lim dems will gain some and i expect it will end up with a brexit/torrie gov.

thats my guess anyway

Latest YouGuv poll...
Old 28 October 2019, 02:53 PM
  #5525  
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Originally Posted by trails
I think this is a real potential of coming to pass...unless JC is ousted from within, in which case with a more centralist leader Labour could clean up and not require a coalition...especially if one of their GE promises is referendum 2 with meaningful choices.
We could really do with another Tony Blair right now! A Labour party with a charismatic centrist would clean up right now. Corbyn is too divisive and has no clear direction on Brexit. Given the absolute mess the Tories are in, it's really quite scandalous that Labour have completely failed to capitalise on the whole mess!


Originally Posted by Tidgy
Tories will loose out, labour even more as they have swung in the wind. Brexit party will surge, lim dems will gain some and i expect it will end up with a brexit/torrie gov.

thats my guess anyway
This depends on if the Brexit party make an election pact not to fight the Tories or if they fight against each other. In the latter case, they could end up gifting many seats to the Lib Dems or Labour by splitting the hard/soft Brexit vote! A Tory/Brexit coalition would also be disastrous, both for the country and for the Tory party - Although I doubt it would last long enough to see Brexit through before the more moderate Tories resign the whip!

Don't underestimate the Lib Dems. My parents have been staunch Tory voters their whole lives and they are now supporting the Lib Dems because they don't support Boris Johnson and a hard Brexit. They're also in a marginal seat and their (currently Tory) MP is standing down, so its a prime target for the Lib Dems.
Old 28 October 2019, 03:03 PM
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
We could really do with another Tony Blair right now! A Labour party with a charismatic centrist would clean up right now. Corbyn is too divisive and has no clear direction on Brexit. Given the absolute mess the Tories are in, it's really quite scandalous that Labour have completely failed to capitalise on the whole mess!



This depends on if the Brexit party make an election pact not to fight the Tories or if they fight against each other. In the latter case, they could end up gifting many seats to the Lib Dems or Labour by splitting the hard/soft Brexit vote! A Tory/Brexit coalition would also be disastrous, both for the country and for the Tory party - Although I doubt it would last long enough to see Brexit through before the more moderate Tories resign the whip!

Don't underestimate the Lib Dems. My parents have been staunch Tory voters their whole lives and they are now supporting the Lib Dems because they don't support Boris Johnson and a hard Brexit. They're also in a marginal seat and their (currently Tory) MP is standing down, so its a prime target for the Lib Dems.
Time for the elder Miliband to return...maybe. Although he has supported a soft-Brexit rather than a second ref.

Brexit party are regarded as toxic by many as is Nigel...Lib Dems have always been the recipient of the protest vote to punish the Tories and I can't see that changing this time around.
Old 29 October 2019, 08:45 AM
  #5527  
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I will be voting for the Lib Dems purely because they have pledged to stop Brexit.
Old 29 October 2019, 08:55 AM
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-50184045

Another waste of money because of Brexit!

WTF do we need commemorative coins anyway?

And why are they wasting money still showing the get ready for Brexit advert?

Shredded !

Along with Boris's CV
Old 29 October 2019, 10:02 AM
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Originally Posted by mrtheedge2u2
I will be voting for the Lib Dems purely because they have pledged to stop Brexit.
As will many I think...they have actual ;policy too, whereas Alexander just has rhetoric and lies about giving me tax breaks.
Old 29 October 2019, 10:03 AM
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Originally Posted by dpb
Shredded !

Along with Boris's CV

are we really surprised?!
Old 29 October 2019, 12:02 PM
  #5531  
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Corbyn is saying now the extension has been confirmed, they will back the call for the election today!
Old 29 October 2019, 12:45 PM
  #5532  
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Can't see how anything is going to alter the numbers in parliament
Old 29 October 2019, 12:53 PM
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Originally Posted by dpb
Can't see how anything is going to alter the numbers in parliament
I don't think no-deal is actually off the table is it...all that's happened is the EU have granted a new 'flextension' of three months?

Maybe JC is giving in to peer pressure regardless...I predict 5hitty campaigns on both sides centring around blame.
Old 29 October 2019, 01:22 PM
  #5534  
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Originally Posted by trails
I don't think no-deal is actually off the table is it...all that's happened is the EU have granted a new 'flextension' of three months?

Maybe JC is giving in to peer pressure regardless...I predict 5hitty campaigns on both sides centring around blame.
No deal will probably never be completely off the table, particularly as long as we have a Tory government, bit it's now off the table for long enough to fight an election. With the bill today, the date is also fixed in law and Boris can't trick them and shift the date.

Expect the polls to start narrowing over the next few weeks, this will be a very close one and you may see a record number of young voters fighting for their future! Sadly though, it will most likely again lead to a hung parliament and we're back to square one! In reality, the only way to resolve this to put the deal to the people and give them a meaningful choice rather than a unicorn!
Old 29 October 2019, 01:34 PM
  #5535  
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
No deal will probably never be completely off the table, particularly as long as we have a Tory government, bit it's now off the table for long enough to fight an election. With the bill today, the date is also fixed in law and Boris can't trick them and shift the date.

Expect the polls to start narrowing over the next few weeks, this will be a very close one and you may see a record number of young voters fighting for their future! Sadly though, it will most likely again lead to a hung parliament and we're back to square one! In reality, the only way to resolve this to put the deal to the people and give them a meaningful choice rather than a unicorn!
Agreed, this is going to be about who can hold their nose long enough to make an unsavoury coalition...what will be interesting is whether the Lib Dems have learnt from the Tory coalition under Clegg where they reneged on GE promises and supported the opposite. If they can demonstrate they have, I think it puts them in a strong position for tactical voting gains if enough red\blue remain voters are pragmatic and prioritise Brexit as their primary reason for voting to secure a second ref.
Old 29 October 2019, 02:01 PM
  #5536  
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Originally Posted by trails
Agreed, this is going to be about who can hold their nose long enough to make an unsavoury coalition...what will be interesting is whether the Lib Dems have learnt from the Tory coalition under Clegg where they reneged on GE promises and supported the opposite. If they can demonstrate they have, I think it puts them in a strong position for tactical voting gains if enough red\blue remain voters are pragmatic and prioritise Brexit as their primary reason for voting to secure a second ref.
This is the problem with having a GE to resolve Brexit. Not everyone will vote based on Brexit, some will vote for political reasons or on traditional political leanings. You can't say that the result of a GE is the peoples preferred choice for Brexit. Especially if there is no clear position on Brexit for the leading parties!
Will the Tories campaign for Boris' deal or for no deal or be indecisive and leave both on the table. Who knows what Labours position will be, no doubt it will change from day to day or hour to hour! Only the Lib Dems, SNP, and Greens have a definite position on Brexit.
Old 29 October 2019, 02:10 PM
  #5537  
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
This is the problem with having a GE to resolve Brexit. Not everyone will vote based on Brexit, some will vote for political reasons or on traditional political leanings. You can't say that the result of a GE is the peoples preferred choice for Brexit. Especially if there is no clear position on Brexit for the leading parties!
Will the Tories campaign for Boris' deal or for no deal or be indecisive and leave both on the table. Who knows what Labours position will be, no doubt it will change from day to day or hour to hour! Only the Lib Dems, SNP, and Greens have a definite position on Brexit.
Yes, those that dogmatically support one particular party will skew any justification for either leaving or staying...the only real way out of this is another ref with actual choices rather than a binary question. That will of course drive the rabid leavers into an utter frenzy and sadly keep the likes of Farge on our TV screens for longer.
Old 29 October 2019, 02:43 PM
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The only saving grace here is the elder tory / brexit supporting bigot may just slip on the ice on the way to vote
Old 29 October 2019, 02:55 PM
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Originally Posted by dpb
The only saving grace here is the elder tory / brexit supporting bigot may just slip on the ice on the way to vote
I know you are being tongue in cheek but this is the kind of stuff that is helping to cement the extremists stance on both sides of the argument, so you need to stop it...or we could have a vote on whether you should stop it and then regardless of the results you could just carry on
Old 29 October 2019, 03:07 PM
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Well i think we should have a vote on teh vote


jc looked quite uncomfortable trying to be enthusaistic about it all
Old 29 October 2019, 03:09 PM
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Originally Posted by dpb
Well i think we should have a vote on teh vote


jc looked quite uncomfortable trying to be enthusaistic about it all



He knows he is FUBAR...only a coalition can save him as leader; if he loses this one there is no coming back regardless of Union support.
Old 29 October 2019, 04:13 PM
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Basically Corbyn was forced into agreeing to an election. He simply ran out of excuses, if he was genuinely against the possiblity of a no deal brexit, he would have backed an election and put forward a no deal clause if he'd won.

Now that the SNP and LibDem support Johnson's election bill, it's now inevitable that an early election will happen. How would Corbyn and Labour look, as the opposition, if he, again, refused to back an election that was going to happen whether he liked it or not! He'd look like the very thing he fears, .........chlorinated chicken!
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Old 29 October 2019, 05:38 PM
  #5543  
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Boris going to pull election if 16 y/o and eu allowed to vote ????



how cowardly is that

Last edited by dpb; 29 October 2019 at 05:45 PM.
Old 29 October 2019, 06:18 PM
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Originally Posted by dpb
Boris going to pull election if 16 y/o and eu allowed to vote ????



how cowardly is that
Funny how he's so keen to have an election when the numbers are in his favour, but introduce legislation to allow younger and EU citizens to vote which swing the balance the other way and suddenly he doesn't like it.

To be honest, while I agree in principle to allowing 16yo and EU members who are tax resident in UK to vote in a GE, I'm not sure its something that should be done so hastily! More important is to restore the democratic rights of British citizens who live abroad!
Old 29 October 2019, 08:31 PM
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A change of that magnitude (lowering the voting age limit) has to be very carefully examined before implementation...if this is a genuine ‘thing’ then we must ask the same questions of other age limited activities like alcohol consumption and driving.

I think it’s a desperate tactic by labour to avoid having a coalition...which is a bit 5hitty and smacks of principle loss, if they have not seriously investigated it in the past of course.

As for non British citizens I think there would have to be a minimum level of contribution via taxation and minimum length of time in residence to be eligible. I’m not sure how other EU nations approach this issue, but those solutions should probably be reviewed as a starting point.
Old 30 October 2019, 12:28 AM
  #5546  
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JC is now saying that 'no deal is off the table'
Is he now saying that its impossible to leave now without a deal - for example if the Brexit party win?
Old 30 October 2019, 09:21 AM
  #5547  
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Originally Posted by Felix.
JC is now saying that 'no deal is off the table'
Is he now saying that its impossible to leave now without a deal - for example if the Brexit party win?
It isn't really off the table...it's just not being pursued by the Tories currently.
Old 30 October 2019, 09:32 AM
  #5548  
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Originally Posted by Felix.
JC is now saying that 'no deal is off the table'
Is he now saying that its impossible to leave now without a deal - for example if the Brexit party win?
No, he is merely stating that no deal is off the table for long enough to hold an election.
With the PMs bill, the date of the election is fixed in law.
With the vote on the fixed term parliament act, the PM can decide on the election date after the vote and could have shifted it to after the 31st January and dissolved parliament for 6 weeks to fight the election, letting the clock run down and leaving with no deal on 31st January!
This is why the fixed term parliament act call for a GE was voted down, but the GE election bill was overwhelmingly accepted!
Now, we can't have a no deal situation during the election campaign - no deal is off the table!
Obviously, whoever wins the election will then be able to set the terms of leaving, including with no deal!
Although, in either case, I don't really accept a GE result as a mandate for any kind of Brexit or remaining as a GE is not fought on a single issue. Whoever wins, should put any deal/no deal and remain back to the public in a referendum to ensure that the public really accept the deal.
Old 30 October 2019, 10:58 AM
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
No, he is merely stating that no deal is off the table for long enough to hold an election.
With the PMs bill, the date of the election is fixed in law.
With the vote on the fixed term parliament act, the PM can decide on the election date after the vote and could have shifted it to after the 31st January and dissolved parliament for 6 weeks to fight the election, letting the clock run down and leaving with no deal on 31st January!
This is why the fixed term parliament act call for a GE was voted down, but the GE election bill was overwhelmingly accepted!
Now, we can't have a no deal situation during the election campaign - no deal is off the table!
Obviously, whoever wins the election will then be able to set the terms of leaving, including with no deal!
Although, in either case, I don't really accept a GE result as a mandate for any kind of Brexit or remaining as a GE is not fought on a single issue. Whoever wins, should put any deal/no deal and remain back to the public in a referendum to ensure that the public really accept the deal.
Which feels increasing likely, if the parties supporting a second ref can get their collective ducks lined up.
Old 30 October 2019, 12:35 PM
  #5550  
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Does that imply lib/lab pact and or snp ?

i thought labour had ruled out anything like that


Quick Reply: So Brexit seems to be a good thing then.



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