BOE base rate estimations.
#1
BOE base rate estimations.
Seeing that the BOE base rate over the last 10 years has historically hovered around the 5%-6% mark,how long do we think that the BOE can be artificially held down at 0.5% ??
It has been at this low rate for a while now,when is it going to start creeping back up again,surely it has too soon???
Hopefully not to the 17% of late 79 though..
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/mfsd/iadb/Repo.asp
It has been at this low rate for a while now,when is it going to start creeping back up again,surely it has too soon???
Hopefully not to the 17% of late 79 though..
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/mfsd/iadb/Repo.asp
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Who knows? It all depends on inflation which all depends on pay rises which all depends on government policy which all depends on how well baby Florence Rose Endellion slept the previous night.
Steve
Steve
#6
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It's absurd having an economy reliant on the prices of a house for its survival. It's a big house of cards basically being propped up by near zero interest rates.
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True, but 5% would mean most people on a tracker have to watch their outgoings, where as 10% would mean you might well not be able to meet the payments.
Does not matter a jot to anyone on a fixed rate though I guess... which is a lot of people.
Does not matter a jot to anyone on a fixed rate though I guess... which is a lot of people.
#12
Don't most fixed rates revert to trackers after 2-5 years?
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TX.
#19
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House prices now are like the technology stocks were in the late 90s/early 00s - As you say: great for the people who profited from the speculative gamble, not so good for the economy in general or people who just look at houses as a place to live.
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Glesga - impossible to call it fella which is my point. Some paid rent for 10yrs+ & waited (losers), some bought houses in mid 90s & watched them double in price ish (winners) whilst others bought just before the crash (losers) & are probably in trouble right now albeit low interest rates have softened the blow.
Interest rates are no different, ditto stocks / shares etc etc.
TX.
Interest rates are no different, ditto stocks / shares etc etc.
TX.
#22
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Glesga - impossible to call it fella which is my point. Some paid rent for 10yrs+ & waited (losers), some bought houses in mid 90s & watched them double in price ish (winners) whilst others bought just before the crash (losers) & are probably in trouble right now albeit low interest rates have softened the blow.
Interest rates are no different, ditto stocks / shares etc etc.
TX.
Interest rates are no different, ditto stocks / shares etc etc.
TX.
Now we have the huge burden of all these consumer services, etc, that aren't required. Especially since any move higher in interest rates is going to make the situation much worse, as people will have to spend more and more of their income on paying mortgages, so they'll have much less to spend on consumer goods and services. Hence a lot of people will lose their jobs.
That would be the doomsday scenario anyway...
#23
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Theres alot of wild speculation of double figure rates within 2 years, uncontrollable inflation, low rates for years to come, deflation. With such complete opposite ends of the spectrum it shows that most of these comments are just headline grabbers.
Rates will rise but unlikely to pass 5% over the next 5 years. Inflation will remain high until the 20% VAT is factored in and when QE has finally washed through the system. End of next year inflation will probably fall back and maybe below the 2% target.
Rates will rise but unlikely to pass 5% over the next 5 years. Inflation will remain high until the 20% VAT is factored in and when QE has finally washed through the system. End of next year inflation will probably fall back and maybe below the 2% target.
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