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Old 12 February 2008, 11:29 AM
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OllyK
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Default New figures from the ONS

Suggest imflation is above the 2% set by the government

Fuel prices rise at fastest rate ever as inflation pushes past government's 2 per cent target | the Daily Mail

The cost of living in the UK strayed further away from the Government's 2 per cent target last month as fuel inflation hit its highest rate since records began, official figures showed today.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) - the official rate of inflation - rose to 2.2 per cent last month, up from 2.1 per cent per cent in December, as the average price of petrol rose by 1.3p to 103.9p per litre, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

There are likely to be significant upward pressures on CPI over the months ahead as the recent flurry of energy bill hikes begins to filter through.
Old 12 February 2008, 11:32 AM
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PeteBrant
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If the CPI is 2.2%, then the RPI-X is about 3.5% and the RPI (which is what most of us live to) is going to be about 4.8% (although the recent cut in interest rates will have had an effect)


But fuel rates are almsot beyond and sensible discussion now, they are utterly ridiculous.
Old 13 February 2008, 12:19 PM
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Leslie
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Quite right.

Les
Old 13 February 2008, 12:32 PM
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Petem95
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I don't think the official figures accurately reflect real inflation, but even so the BoE and now saying they expect CPI to breach 3% by the middle of this year.

Mr King added it was likely that the rate of inflation would hit 3% by the middle of this year
BBC NEWS | Business | Bank hints at limited rate cuts

Basically means they have little room to slash rates, despite the economic situation and house price crash looking like they're set to get worse.
Old 13 February 2008, 10:49 PM
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fast bloke
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Cool

Originally Posted by Petem95
Basically means they have little room to slash rates......
4.75 before December 2008. As they started at 5.75 in December 2007, that equates to a massive 18% interest rate crash
Old 13 February 2008, 11:17 PM
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Suresh
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Originally Posted by fast bloke
4.75 before December 2008. As they started at 5.75 in December 2007, that equates to a massive 18% interest rate crash
That's not going to affect me though, as I got one of these 'financial crash protection devices' off of E-Bay

Old 13 February 2008, 11:19 PM
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fast bloke
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I just use a tinfoil hat - It protects me from the statistics
Old 13 February 2008, 11:28 PM
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Luminous
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Why don't the media quote the RPI when also quoting the CPI? We all know the CPI is a load of rubbish and was purely setup to show us what they wanted us to see.

Aren't MP's salaries based on RPI rather than CPI, so the figures must be available somewhere.
Old 13 February 2008, 11:47 PM
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Suresh
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Originally Posted by Luminous

Aren't MP's salaries based on RPI rather than CPI, so the figures must be available somewhere.
Try the ONS.

National Statistics Online


RPI was last this high in the early 90s and the gap between RPI and CPI was last this big in 2000.

Annual RPIs 1989 - 2007

YEAR RPI CPI Diff
1989 7.8% 5.2% 2.6%

1990 9.5% 7.0% 2.4%

1991 5.9% 7.4% -1.5%

1992 3.7% 4.3% -0.6%

1993 1.6% 2.5% -0.9%

1994 2.4% 2.1% 0.3%

1995 3.5% 2.6% 0.8%

1996 2.4% 2.4% 0.0%

1997 3.1% 1.8% 1.3%

1998 3.4% 1.6% 1.9%

1999 1.5% 1.3% 0.2%

2000 3.0% 0.9% 2.1%

2001 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%

2002 1.7% 1.3% 0.4%

2003 2.9% 1.4% 1.5%

2004 3.0% 1.3% 1.6%

2005 2.8% 2.0% 0.8%

2006 3.2% 2.3% 0.9%

2007 4.3% 2.3% 1.9%

HTH
Old 13 February 2008, 11:51 PM
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Luminous
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Wow, those figures make interesting reading

I am still surprised that the press don't tout them about a lot more though. I don't get why they climb into bed with the politicians when they know we are being fed rubbish.
Old 14 February 2008, 12:06 AM
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Suresh
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CPI is the internationally standardised inflation measure and cannot be arbitrarily re-defined by any individual government. So the UK Govt is not being dishonest by using it IMHO.
Old 14 February 2008, 12:09 AM
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fast bloke
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RPI is rubbish as well. People on a given income level will have a personal inflation rate. The poorer you are, the higher your personal inflation rate. If you look at something like milk and plasma TV's. Both are used in CPI and RPI rates. Milk has gone up by 7% and plasmas have come down by 40%. If you are not in the market for a plasma, your personal inflation rate is 7%. If you fancy a plasma then it is -33% or -39.7% or -16.5% depending how you want to calculate the statistics. The important thing to remember is that MPC decisions are based on this month relative to last month. Your future will be decided on the increase or decrease of CPI, PRI, RPIX.... etc whatever - but not based on its true value - basd on its relative figure to last month or last year. The only reason for introducing CPI was to reduce civil service pay increases
Old 14 February 2008, 01:16 PM
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Leslie
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Originally Posted by Suresh
CPI is the internationally standardised inflation measure and cannot be arbitrarily re-defined by any individual government. So the UK Govt is not being dishonest by using it IMHO.
Nothing to stop them being honest about a more realistic rate of inflation though is there?

Les
Old 14 February 2008, 01:48 PM
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Luminous
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Originally Posted by Suresh
CPI is the internationally standardised inflation measure and cannot be arbitrarily re-defined by any individual government. So the UK Govt is not being dishonest by using it IMHO.
I never realised it was international. I just seem to remember them starting to use it when the RPI was showing higher figures than they wanted Maybe I was just being too cynical
Old 15 February 2008, 05:03 PM
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Leslie
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Originally Posted by Luminous
I never realised it was international. I just seem to remember them starting to use it when the RPI was showing higher figures than they wanted Maybe I was just being too cynical
But how far do you trust the international leaders who worked it all out?

Les
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