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DOW - gotta come down soon?

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Old 06 January 2004, 09:04 AM
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imlach
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Looking at the graphs, the DOW has gone up in a linear line for the last month from about 9500 to 10500 with no profit take along the way....

Another few days of New Year exuberance, and surely it has to fall back a bit surely?? 1000pt gain with no pullback is surely asking for trouble?

Anyone any thoughts?
Old 06 January 2004, 09:16 AM
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imlach
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Same with the £/$ and the $/Euro...

£/$ now up to 1.816 and $/Euro up to 1.27

People reckon 1.3 on the $/Euro is a formality VERY quickly....anyone else think the same?

Can the dollar really weaken so quick & fast?
Old 06 January 2004, 09:51 AM
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LG John
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1000pt gain with no pullback is surely asking for trouble
Did you bet on that gain???? Assuming you did at £5 a point then you'll be fooking luving it
Old 06 January 2004, 10:16 AM
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330uk
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I do alot of deals in dollars and constantly keep my eye on its movements.
I think today it will finish at around £/$ 1.82 and will continue to go down to about 1.85 (start of next week). It will then start a slow rise.

Thats my prediction anyway. Just waiting for the bottom before I transfer loads into my USD account.
Old 06 January 2004, 10:29 AM
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TelBoy
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As said, this is all currency driven. It seems the market is intent on testing 1.30 USD/EUR, and 1.85 Cable.

I've even heard talk of further ECB rate cuts, and it isn't even April 1st!!
Old 06 January 2004, 10:36 AM
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imlach
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Yeah, everyone seems certain of 1.3 on the Euro/$.

Given it is 1.27, tempted to load up on it.....
Old 06 January 2004, 10:55 AM
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Old_Fart
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My bonus is paid in USD, then converted to GBP
So despite winning to the gamma, and increasing the $$'s this move has cost me the equivalent of a very nice new car...bet your hearts are bleeding for me? LOL
Rgds
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Old 06 January 2004, 11:01 AM
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330uk
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My hearts not bleeding for you mate. Im buzzing too much off the money I will/am making.
I import products from far east into the UK. Mainly China and they peg there currency (yuan) at a fixed rate against the dollar. So if the dollar goes weak I get the products from them at the same price in USD terms but alot less in GBP terms.
Im laughing all the way to the bank

...oh look the dollar is now 1.82
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