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Any tips for bargain shares?

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Old 10 August 2011, 11:41 AM
  #91  
Trout
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It is not necessarily 'work'.

In momemtum trading you have a method and pattern trade. In my own experience with a good method and pattern there are probably only 30-50 equities that 'qualify' and it may only take a couple of hours to find. But I may only refresh this once a quarter. Then I run the method. Done well this will make a profit on 3 out of 4 trades.

You can get clever and make side bets in the options markets - there are some mechanisms that will make you small amounts of money very consistently. Trades that retail investors can take advantage of, that institutional investors can't do.
Old 10 August 2011, 11:43 AM
  #92  
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Originally Posted by alloy
Ain't no dreaming here Trout.......one day i will have a TTRS
Now you are dreaming!!!

I thought of buying one but I think it would be too fast for me to handle
Old 10 August 2011, 11:49 AM
  #93  
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Originally Posted by alloy
You are right alan, the problem with being an active trader is it kind of flies in the face of general social acceptance. For example if i take a loss on a trade i have lost money, when you tell people this is good they don't understand, but the reality is losses are natural in trading the right thing to do is cut them at a disciplined and accepted level.

When you plan a trade and you have an exit strategy you know what your loss is going to be so it also helps you attribute the right capital to the trade in question.
This is something close to my heart as well.

Starting a new business is a gamble and many people fail. Yet, when wee Jimmy's Plumbing Service goes down the pan all his friends/family are sympathetic, understanding and pat him on the back for breaking the mould and giving his own business a go.

However, if I ever have to turn round to my friends and family and tell them I can't make a living at poker any more they are more likely to turn round and say, "told you so..."
Old 10 August 2011, 12:07 PM
  #94  
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Originally Posted by Trout
Now you are dreaming!!!

I thought of buying one but I think it would be too fast for me to handle
You're a VAG *****
Old 10 August 2011, 01:19 PM
  #95  
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Originally Posted by Trout
BTW - the time to invest in RBS was when it was 10.5p. And that wasn't an investment at that time, it was a gamble.
A good gamble though at 250% up.

Any share is a gamble though really.

Chip
Old 10 August 2011, 01:24 PM
  #96  
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Originally Posted by Trout
...and drive a really fast car!!!!
Been there, done that.

Chip
Old 10 August 2011, 01:27 PM
  #97  
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Originally Posted by Trout
The most exciting way of losing money as a trading novice is to sit in front of the ticker!!! Even if you have a trading plan!!

Use a stop loss and trade your plan; don't watch the wind blowing through the market otherwise you will get blown away. I speak from experience of burning through some 'learning' money!!!!
I admit I tend to do this and it does get to me sometimes, I've also got no plan , stop loss or anything else, I just buy and sell when the mood takes me and I can honestly say I have done very well out of it as I am now retired at 49.

Chip
Old 10 August 2011, 01:29 PM
  #98  
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Originally Posted by Chip
A good gamble though at 250% up.

Any share is a gamble though really.

Chip
Its only a gamble if you're doing it blindly without a strategy......
Old 10 August 2011, 01:33 PM
  #99  
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Originally Posted by alloy
Its only a gamble if you're doing it blindly without a strategy......
I disagree as surely a share price could collapse at any time whereas at least if you had money in say premium bonds or a bank ISA.

Chip
Old 10 August 2011, 01:34 PM
  #100  
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One of our guys had a loose stop loss on an option play earlier this week. He's had a number of meetings with management the past few days, let's just say.

Avoiding becoming married to a position is the hardest lesson of all to learn, in my opinion.
Old 10 August 2011, 01:41 PM
  #101  
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Standard Life back up to 194 right now. I think it touched 160 yesterday. I would have bought again there. Same for another stock that I own, Afren. Would have bought at 85, just was away working yesterday so missed it.

Anyway, it's difficult to call that the bottom. I guess there's every chance that we could head down there again, or lower. If not, that's fine by me too!
Old 10 August 2011, 01:56 PM
  #102  
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Originally Posted by Chip
I disagree as surely a share price could collapse at any time whereas at least if you had money in say premium bonds or a bank ISA.

Chip
exactly, so if you have an exit strategy in case things turn sour then there is no gamble as such.....to me a gamble is taking a view on something due to gut feeling.....i would never trade on gut instinct alone...there is however no certainty with stocks, all you can do is stack the "odds" in your favour as much as possible and know when enough is enough on the downside

Premium bonds aren't an investment they have no inflation protection, all you get is however many lottery tickets....
Old 10 August 2011, 01:58 PM
  #103  
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Well i made a few hundred on mcro this morning ,bought at 297 a few weeks ago ( and should have sold again next day )

Was sitting around doing nothing sweet fa for couple weeks then this crisis came along and the recovery bumped it back up to 310

Thatll do me for this week

Last edited by dpb; 10 August 2011 at 01:59 PM.
Old 10 August 2011, 01:58 PM
  #104  
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Originally Posted by alloy
You're a VAG *****
Now that hurts








Old 10 August 2011, 01:59 PM
  #105  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
One of our guys had a loose stop loss on an option play earlier this week. He's had a number of meetings with management the past few days, let's just say.

Avoiding becoming married to a position is the hardest lesson of all to learn, in my opinion.
completely right!

Getting married to a position is emotion taking precedence over logic....the old buffet once said "the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent".....a lot of people would have learnt this lesson over the past fortnight!

So many retail investors think that because a share was at say 200 and now is at 100 then it is a good time to buy....as a broker i would always hear clients say "this can't keep going up", "this looks cheap".....all of which is nonsense
Old 10 August 2011, 02:10 PM
  #106  
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Originally Posted by Chip
I admit I tend to do this and it does get to me sometimes, I've also got no plan , stop loss or anything else, I just buy and sell when the mood takes me and I can honestly say I have done very well out of it as I am now retired at 49.

Chip
Some people smoke and live to one hundred; it doesn't give a great foundation for NHS policy though
Old 10 August 2011, 02:15 PM
  #107  
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Should have lost rockhopper when i had the chance , what a joke
Old 10 August 2011, 02:39 PM
  #108  
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Originally Posted by alloy

Premium bonds aren't an investment they have no inflation protection, all you get is however many lottery tickets....
But at least you will never lose your money on P bonds.
Old 10 August 2011, 02:40 PM
  #109  
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risk = reward

it doesn't work in any other forumla than that
Old 10 August 2011, 02:47 PM
  #110  
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Market rumour, French bank on the verge of going under, Sarkozy in emergency talks....
Old 10 August 2011, 02:53 PM
  #111  
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SocGen down 16%, hmmm i wonder who's in trouble then
Old 10 August 2011, 02:55 PM
  #112  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
SocGen down 16%, hmmm i wonder who's in trouble then
how dare you speculate you spiv
Old 10 August 2011, 03:00 PM
  #113  
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SocGen has felt like it's been frantically plugging leaks ever since the rogue trader scandal. Stock in freefall, CHF exposure rumours. We don't need a bank to collapse, we really don't.
Old 10 August 2011, 03:05 PM
  #114  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
SocGen has felt like it's been frantically plugging leaks ever since the rogue trader scandal. Stock in freefall, CHF exposure rumours. We don't need a bank to collapse, we really don't.
buy RBS it "looks" cheap
Old 10 August 2011, 03:13 PM
  #115  
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I swear i won't poke this back in your face when it's at 50, promise
Old 10 August 2011, 03:16 PM
  #116  
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i just bought RBS.....bought them back after i shorted them this morn...

I'm only playing Tel, but it services my point that if you arent happy to hold through volatility and you are looking for a quick buck this market is not for the novice....
Old 10 August 2011, 03:21 PM
  #117  
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If France or Germany get a credit downgrade, which is on the cards potentially, this euro issue will explode!
Old 10 August 2011, 03:22 PM
  #118  
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At the moment it feels like Armageddon is back on the cards doesn't it. Something major has to happen for a proper blow-out i think. Scary amounts of red around.
Old 10 August 2011, 03:25 PM
  #119  
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SocGen was not present at meeting with Sarkozy.....also the French deny any ratings downgrade threat......

These markets still so brittle, its all a confidence thing and that's one attribute the world is shy of right now!
Old 10 August 2011, 03:28 PM
  #120  
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SogGen to be nationalised? Could happen.


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