So Brexit seems to be a good thing then.
#1292
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or is it stupid staying in a system that doesn't fit your needs?
It could work out to be a very good move and then who will be referred to as the stupid ones?
We seem to be living in society where people seem to think that anyone with different opinions to theirs should be insulted and shunned. Tis a sorry state of affairs how our democracy has died
It could work out to be a very good move and then who will be referred to as the stupid ones?
We seem to be living in society where people seem to think that anyone with different opinions to theirs should be insulted and shunned. Tis a sorry state of affairs how our democracy has died
Not every opinion deserves to be taken seriously
#1293
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Don't think it's fair to say we get Chevrolets when the ones we get are rebadged Daewoos
In seriousness, we, or/and the EU need a better trade deal with the USA; There is so much automotive goodness in the way of aftermarket and bespoke components that simply don't exist anywhere else in the world, and to buy it and import it to the UK costs the consumer a hefty load of tax.
Ok I'm selfish; I hedged that the dollar would plummet after Trump got in so I could reap some rewards in the way of automotive goodies courtesy of Tremec, how wrong was I?
In seriousness, we, or/and the EU need a better trade deal with the USA; There is so much automotive goodness in the way of aftermarket and bespoke components that simply don't exist anywhere else in the world, and to buy it and import it to the UK costs the consumer a hefty load of tax.
Ok I'm selfish; I hedged that the dollar would plummet after Trump got in so I could reap some rewards in the way of automotive goodies courtesy of Tremec, how wrong was I?
I do however agree on the aftermarket bits side. I've got a GT86 at the moment and there's some lovely bits you can get from the states for them that'd be nice if they were cheaper/easier to bring over.
#1294
Scooby Regular
If you ask someone in 1690 issac newton didn't deserve to be taken seriously
AGW?
#1297
Scooby Regular
So misinformed compared to you? Given the same facts (or lack of) that you had they couldn't analyse them as well as you and so came up with the wrong answer.
So in other words every single person in this country who voted to leave is less intelligent than you.
Just wanted to clear that up.
#1298
Scooby Regular
iTrader: (1)
So misinformed compared to you? Given the same facts (or lack of) that you had they couldn't analyse them as well as you and so came up with the wrong answer.
So in other words every single person in this country who voted to leave is less intelligent than you.
Just wanted to clear that up.
So in other words every single person in this country who voted to leave is less intelligent than you.
Just wanted to clear that up.
#1301
Be a shepherd etc lol
#1306
Scooby Regular
fair enough
but the link is simply a description of the term followed by a pathetic denial - and we have had enough ignorance recently to last an eternity
fwiw - this link explains the science behind AGW
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming
but the link is simply a description of the term followed by a pathetic denial - and we have had enough ignorance recently to last an eternity
fwiw - this link explains the science behind AGW
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming
#1308
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All the financially astute people voted Leave!
I find it interesting that although there are a die-hard bunch of bitter Remain voters who just will not accept not getting their own way, the majority of both Remain and Leave voters do appear to be heading for some common ground.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-ecj-paying/
The migration crisis into Europe really does show no sign of abating however and I think this really could cause cracks throughout the EU. It's now mostly sub-saharan Africa migrations, rather than Syrians etc who are making up the bulk.
Presumably the ScoobyNet liberals are all for this, and believe all should be taken in and more ships should be deployed in the Med to assist with getting them into Europe as numbers continue to increase (10's thousands per month) The EU is suing Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic who are refusing to take in migrants, so clearly this is a contentious issue.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7789161.html
I find it interesting that although there are a die-hard bunch of bitter Remain voters who just will not accept not getting their own way, the majority of both Remain and Leave voters do appear to be heading for some common ground.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-ecj-paying/
The migration crisis into Europe really does show no sign of abating however and I think this really could cause cracks throughout the EU. It's now mostly sub-saharan Africa migrations, rather than Syrians etc who are making up the bulk.
Presumably the ScoobyNet liberals are all for this, and believe all should be taken in and more ships should be deployed in the Med to assist with getting them into Europe as numbers continue to increase (10's thousands per month) The EU is suing Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic who are refusing to take in migrants, so clearly this is a contentious issue.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7789161.html
Last edited by Petem95; 11 August 2017 at 04:41 PM.
#1309
Scooby Senior
All the financially astute people voted Leave!
I find it interesting that although there are a die-hard bunch of bitter Remain voters who just will not accept not getting their own way, the majority of both Remain and Leave voters do appear to be heading for some common ground.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-ecj-paying/
I find it interesting that although there are a die-hard bunch of bitter Remain voters who just will not accept not getting their own way, the majority of both Remain and Leave voters do appear to be heading for some common ground.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-ecj-paying/
About 54 per cent of Remain and Leave voters said they would support the payment of a bill in the region of £10billion.
But even more - 54.7 per cent Remain and 56.9 per cent Leave - said they backed the UK handing over no money to the EU.
That article also doesn't say who conducted the survey, where it was conducted or how it was conducted, it only quotes Buzzfeed as the first to report it! I'm not really convinced by those results!
The migration crisis into Europe really does show no sign of abating however and I think this really could cause cracks throughout the EU. It's now mostly sub-saharan Africa migrations, rather than Syrians etc who are making up the bulk.
Presumably the ScoobyNet liberals are all for this, and believe all should be taken in and more ships should be deployed in the Med to assist with getting them into Europe as numbers continue to increase? (10's thousands per month) The EU is suing Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic who are refusing to take in migrants, so clearly this is a contentious issue.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7789161.html
Presumably the ScoobyNet liberals are all for this, and believe all should be taken in and more ships should be deployed in the Med to assist with getting them into Europe as numbers continue to increase? (10's thousands per month) The EU is suing Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic who are refusing to take in migrants, so clearly this is a contentious issue.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7789161.html
As for the illegal immigrants, they will have to make an asylum claim once they arrive and the majority of which are not successful and sent home - there have been a number of stories in the German press recently about the number of failed asylum seekers being sent home now outnumbers the new applicants, of course the UK press never really covers stories on failed asylum seekers being returned!
Those who genuinely need asylum, I totally agree we should allow them to stay, its a basic human right. The only problem is the asylum process takes a long time and you have to look after the people until a decision is made, but you can't refuse anyone asylum and you have to take every claim seriously!
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
As for the illegal immigrants, they will have to make an asylum claim once they arrive and the majority of which are not successful and sent home - there have been a number of stories in the German press recently about the number of failed asylum seekers being sent home now outnumbers the new applicants, of course the UK press never really covers stories on failed asylum seekers being returned!
Those who genuinely need asylum, I totally agree we should allow them to stay, its a basic human right. The only problem is the asylum process takes a long time and you have to look after the people until a decision is made, but you can't refuse anyone asylum and you have to take every claim seriously!
Those who genuinely need asylum, I totally agree we should allow them to stay, its a basic human right. The only problem is the asylum process takes a long time and you have to look after the people until a decision is made, but you can't refuse anyone asylum and you have to take every claim seriously!
Things just seem to be continuing to escalate, you've got people storming boarders in Ceuta (Spanish enclave in Morocco), as they know that once they've set foot on that soil they've then got a good chance of claiming asylum.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-increasing/
With 10's of millions in African potentially looking to get to Europe I don't see how you can de-escalte this situation without removing the incentive to just "get into Europe by whatever means and you've automatically got a good chance of claiming asylum". IMO that incentive needs to be removed, and potentially claims should be processed offshore, say in centres in Libya (along with substation funding to re-build that country after the usual US-led destruction, but that's another debate).
Last edited by Petem95; 11 August 2017 at 05:39 PM.
#1311
Scooby Senior
The problem is how do you prove or disprove claims?! And how do you return someone who has torn up their passport and you don't know which country they're from?! It's an absolute nightmare for authorities, and an absolute dream for 'Human Rights' lawyers.
Things just seem to be continuing to escalate, you've got people storming boarders in Ceuta (Spanish enclave in Morocco), as they know that once they've set foot on that soil they've then got a good chance of claiming asylum.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-increasing/
With 10's of millions in African potentially looking to get to Europe I don't see how you can de-escalte this situation without removing the incentive to just "get into Europe by whatever means and you've automatically got a good chance of claiming asylum". IMO that incentive needs to be removed, and potentially claims should be proceeded offshore, say in centres in Libya (along with substation funding to re-build that country after the usual US-led destruction, but that's another debate).
Things just seem to be continuing to escalate, you've got people storming boarders in Ceuta (Spanish enclave in Morocco), as they know that once they've set foot on that soil they've then got a good chance of claiming asylum.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-increasing/
With 10's of millions in African potentially looking to get to Europe I don't see how you can de-escalte this situation without removing the incentive to just "get into Europe by whatever means and you've automatically got a good chance of claiming asylum". IMO that incentive needs to be removed, and potentially claims should be proceeded offshore, say in centres in Libya (along with substation funding to re-build that country after the usual US-led destruction, but that's another debate).
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Just because I back to the UK leaving the EU, doesn't mean I want to see Europe go to **** - far from it. I really think this migration crisis could start having serious repercussions though. I believe it was right to offer Syrians assistance, whether this is residency or temporary residency until Syria is back on it's feet, and I think the assumption was this would be a short-term thing (which it was really in the case of Syrians), but now it's like pandoras box has been opened and it's a migration free-for-all, and with staggering debt levels, high unemployment and increasing automation on the horizon the last thing Europe needs is millions of unskilled migrants.
#1313
Scooby Senior
All the financially astute people voted Leave!
I find it interesting that although there are a die-hard bunch of bitter Remain voters who just will not accept not getting their own way, the majority of both Remain and Leave voters do appear to be heading for some common ground.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-ecj-paying/
I find it interesting that although there are a die-hard bunch of bitter Remain voters who just will not accept not getting their own way, the majority of both Remain and Leave voters do appear to be heading for some common ground.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...ng-ecj-paying/
https://www.buzzfeed.com/jamesball/r...A3l#.bwGQxEEJM
The headline "Huge Study" is a bit of an overstatement. There is a correction note at the bottom which says the original article stated 20,000 people, but actually its only just over 3000, so not massively representative of the whole country IMHO! The Telegraph have so far failed to correct that error.
The article also fails to state how many leave responses vs remain responses were collected, although one assumes a near 50/50 split. Also missing is where the poll was taken as there will be a varying amount of deviation across the country. If its an online or telephone poll from across the country, then 3000 responses is in no way representative.
I'd also question the method off the poll, allowing simple agree/disagree responses to each question even if the responses are conflicting, hence getting results where 54% agree we should pay £10M and 54% agreeing we should pay nothing!
Asking those questions to a remainer in the context that we are leaving and what do you think is the best deal, then the results are hardly surprising, but there is that one big key question that is missing - If we could reverse the Brexit vote, should we now remain? I wonder how many remainers have really changed their minds vs how many Brexiters now want to reamain!
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
Asking those questions to a remainer in the context that we are leaving and what do you think is the best deal, then the results are hardly surprising, but there is that one big key question that is missing - If we could reverse the Brexit vote, should we now remain? I wonder how many remainers have really changed their minds vs how many Brexiters now want to reamain!
The UK government has hardly showered themselves in glory since the vote and doesn't seem to have any idea what they're doing, but despite that the economy has remained strong and major investment is still going ahead (BMW building the new mini being one of the most recent).
The weaker pound will have helped though, and I do see a danger that post-leaving the UK becomes a bit of a safe haven and the currency strengthens significantly and this would be detrimental for exports obviously.
In the EU they're continuing with 60bn per month QE, and this is dangerous ground IMO. ECB is now the most indebted central bank in the world, and at the current rate they're forecast to run out of German Bunds to buy by 2018. In the short term it's stimulating growth slightly, but the Euro is strengthening now against other major currencies and this is the absolute last thing they need. Germany saw a 4.5% fall in exports in June, and they're the driver economy in the Eurozone.
As soon as you remove QE though then bond yields for the Southern economies which are crippled by the Euro will go through the roof - just look at the rates Italy can borrow at for example, that's only because the ECB is buying their debt. As soon as they stop rates would skyrocket as they'd have to offer much higher returns on the open market and they would run a very real risk of defaulting.
I hoped the UK leaving would make the EU change their tune a bit for the sake of the remaining members, but unfortunately it doesn't look like being the case.
Last edited by Petem95; 11 August 2017 at 06:58 PM.
#1318
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Would all be perfect in Remain land would it? Streets paved with gold, national debt cleared, 100% employment?
#1319
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I could try to explain how a weaker currency boosts exports and helps create some inflation, but I won't try! I don't think you look much beyond "price of a fookin Stella up 20 cents in Benidorm, fookin brexit"
Would all be perfect in Remain land would it? Streets paved with gold, national debt cleared, 100% employment?
Would all be perfect in Remain land would it? Streets paved with gold, national debt cleared, 100% employment?
Yes a weaker currency boost exports, but most of our exports are services. The problem is we import more than we export and our imports are increasing and pushing inflation up. Business may benefit marginally from increased exports, but the consumer will suffer from higher import prices, particularly if wage growth doesn't match the inflation which it currently doesn't. Generally speaking a short term weakness in the currency can stimulate a flagging economy, but our economy was not flagging and the poor exchange rate is set to be more medium to long term. Essentially, the weak pound is currently delaying the pending crash as public spending is taking a nose dive due to the higher real world living costs! Tick, Tock!
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Originally Posted by BMWhere?
Essentially, the weak pound is currently delaying the pending crash as public spending is taking a nose dive due to the higher real world living costs! Tick, Tock!
Looking at the UK you could argue inflation will erode consumer spending (which is true if wages don't keep pace, although indications are that wage growth is picking up), but inflation is also a driver of consumer and spending as people buy items before the price goes up (hence why central banks try so hard to generate some). If you get stuck with deflation then spending can fall sharply as people delay big ticket purchases as the prices just keep going down (i.e. Japan).
Presumably you think all is rosy in the Eurozone with continued QE, highest debt levels of any central bank in the world, continued high unemployment and now a strengthening currency to boot - this is the absolute last thing Draghi needs!
Last edited by Petem95; 11 August 2017 at 09:57 PM.