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EU Referendum

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Old 04 November 2016, 02:47 PM
  #3601  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
And that in itself is the whole problem with the EU. It's our way or the highway

Isn't that the same with any collective of anyone or anything that agree to abide by a certain set of rules?
Old 04 November 2016, 02:50 PM
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Originally Posted by David Lock
Well they might if a second referendum showed a change in the will of the people. I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum as the one we had was such a farce - walking blindfold into the ballot box. Even now we would still be in the dark but there is some light emerging.


But would May have the metaphorical ***** to take this step? I very much doubt it. David

I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum, but I wonder how much of that is because I voted remain...it's a sticky wicket regardless; dammed if they do, dammed if they don't...but isn't that what we pay these ******* for?
Old 04 November 2016, 02:50 PM
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Originally Posted by trails
Isn't that the same with any collective of anyone or anything that agree to abide by a certain set of rules?
Very True.

Although EU was never voted on int he first place, just a trade agreement was. But that discussion has been done to death
Old 04 November 2016, 02:53 PM
  #3604  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
Very True.

Although EU was never voted on int he first place, just a trade agreement was. But that discussion has been done to death

well quit it then
Old 04 November 2016, 02:58 PM
  #3605  
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Originally Posted by trails
I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum, but I wonder how much of that is because I voted remain...it's a sticky wicket regardless; dammed if they do, dammed if they don't...but isn't that what we pay these ******* for?
Why is there any valid argument for it? The majority spoke. All this crap about it not being a big enough majority is stupid, a majority is 1 vote more.

Besides it's not a decision we can evaluate based on a few months. Once were out, deals in place and things have settle down for a couple of years we will know.
Old 04 November 2016, 02:58 PM
  #3606  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
and how important is that trade to germany and france? (only use those two cos they are the biggest). How much is it? is it 10% of vw's sales? etc etc

Right now its a view between optimism and pessimism. Bit like what the vote was made into, those pessimists are being proven wrong time and time again. In 5 years we will know.
No one has said we cannot trade with the EU, so after we leave we continue to trade with them, but more likely than not, on worse terms.

Now, if France's trade with us amounts to 15% of their foreign trade, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. If Germany has 15% of their trade with us, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. And on it goes, each individual member state takes a hit, but not a great one.

However, 46% of our trade is with the EU. It doesn't matter which states they are individually, we trade with the EU as a bloc, we cannot trade with them individually. So, you can say the EU trades with us a lot (but still only about 18% of their trade), but they will suffer a lot less than the UK will.

It really is as simple as that.

I suspect if the question on the referendum has been something like "Would you rather have less immigration but a considerably worse economic situation or have immigration but a strong economy without a failing currency" instead of the ambiguous "Should the UK remain a member of the EU?" then I suspect the outcome would have been different.

The question was too simplistic and didn't allow people any chance of making an informed choice unless they were willing to invest considerable time to look at the ramifications. Leave campaign was then able to appeal to the fears of an island nation, it was too easy.

Hey ho
Old 04 November 2016, 02:59 PM
  #3607  
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Originally Posted by trails
well quit it then
No you quit it

O god, we sound like mp's, there's no hope for us,,,,
Old 04 November 2016, 03:00 PM
  #3608  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
From what I understand from speaking to one of the lawyers within the company (it goes very into deep legal stuff so way way over my head and google isn;t your friend in this case haha), it can actually be done. Has to be worded in specific ways and certain things done but isn't impossible.

But that said it would be easier to negotiate 1 than 28.

But all this is a bit of a moot point and we won't know till the time comes.
lol, b0ll0cks

and made more hilarious by the fact that you laugh at the remain crowd getting it wrong
Old 04 November 2016, 03:02 PM
  #3609  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
Why is there any valid argument for it? The majority spoke. All this crap about it not being a big enough majority is stupid, a majority is 1 vote more.

Besides it's not a decision we can evaluate based on a few months. Once were out, deals in place and things have settle down for a couple of years we will know.

I think there are a few, but my particular #1 reason is the lies spouted by the leave lot.
Old 04 November 2016, 03:04 PM
  #3610  
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Originally Posted by Geezer
No one has said we cannot trade with the EU, so after we leave we continue to trade with them, but more likely than not, on worse terms.

Now, if France's trade with us amounts to 15% of their foreign trade, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. If Germany has 15% of their trade with us, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. And on it goes, each individual member state takes a hit, but not a great one.

However, 46% of our trade is with the EU. It doesn't matter which states they are individually, we trade with the EU as a bloc, we cannot trade with them individually. So, you can say the EU trades with us a lot (but still only about 18% of their trade), but they will suffer a lot less than the UK will.

It really is as simple as that.

I suspect if the question on the referendum has been something like "Would you rather have less immigration but a considerably worse economic situation or have immigration but a strong economy without a failing currency" instead of the ambiguous "Should the UK remain a member of the EU?" then I suspect the outcome would have been different.

The question was too simplistic and didn't allow people any chance of making an informed choice unless they were willing to invest considerable time to look at the ramifications. Leave campaign was then able to appeal to the fears of an island nation, it was too easy.

Hey ho
And that in itself is a leading question. How do you know if the economy is going to be weaker? your guessing it will be weaker, it could as easily be stronger. Right now the BOE is predicted higher than initially expected growth.

Again it comes back to optimism vs pessimism,

The question was and still is simple, how you came about the answer to that question is what is not.
Old 04 November 2016, 03:05 PM
  #3611  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
Why is there any valid argument for it? The majority spoke. All this crap about it not being a big enough majority is stupid, a majority is 1 vote more.
What's good for the goose is good for the gander, don't you think?

Originally Posted by On-the-bog
Besides it's not a decision we can evaluate based on a few months. Once were out, deals in place and things have settle down for a couple of years we will know.
Of course, there is some truth in that, but it would be good to know what sort of deal we can get before exiting, wouldn't you agree?
Old 04 November 2016, 03:05 PM
  #3612  
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Originally Posted by trails
I think there are a few, but my particular #1 reason is the lies spouted by the leave lot.
And the remain were just as bad, the whole argument was won on who could shovel the most **** on the other side
Old 04 November 2016, 03:06 PM
  #3613  
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Originally Posted by Geezer
What's good for the goose is good for the gander, don't you think?



Of course, there is some truth in that, but it would be good to know what sort of deal we can get before exiting, wouldn't you agree?

I agree on that, but that was never going to happen.
Old 04 November 2016, 03:08 PM
  #3614  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
And the remain were just as bad, the whole argument was won on who could shovel the most **** on the other side

That is utter bollocks and you know it.
Old 04 November 2016, 03:08 PM
  #3615  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
lol, b0ll0cks

and made more hilarious by the fact that you laugh at the remain crowd getting it wrong
I laugh at the people on their soap box sprouting doom and gloom being proven wrong.
Old 04 November 2016, 03:09 PM
  #3616  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
And the remain were just as bad, the whole argument was won on who could shovel the most **** on the other side

Which is why we should never hold referendums
Old 04 November 2016, 03:09 PM
  #3617  
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Originally Posted by trails
That is utter bollocks and you know it.
O so everything they said was fact? Come on, both sides were at it. Both sides ran negative campaigns.

Look at the US pres election, it isn't about who is better, its about who is least worse.
Old 04 November 2016, 03:11 PM
  #3618  
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
Which is why we should never hold referendums
How else do you gauge it?

Our system is broken because of party politics. each MP should vote the way the majority of their constituents want them to vote, not the way their party leader tells them to vote.

But again this is going way way off track from the original point
Old 04 November 2016, 03:11 PM
  #3619  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
And that in itself is a leading question. How do you know if the economy is going to be weaker? your guessing it will be weaker, it could as easily be stronger. Right now the BOE is predicted higher than initially expected growth.

Again it comes back to optimism vs pessimism,

The question was and still is simple, how you came about the answer to that question is what is not.
Its clear that we will not get unfettered access to the single market without unrestricted movement of people.

So, the options are a Norwegian type affair, which Brexiteers don't like, or a hard Brexit, which means WTO rules, so increased tariffs, so our relationship with the EU is going to cost more. Unless you think we shouldn't trade with them at all?

That leaves our trade with the rest of the world. I'm sure some deals will be great, but you can get your bottom dollar that a country like China is going to want to get the best deal for them, not us (as they have already shown). I think it unlikely that the world of queuing up to give old Blighty the deals they want, as opposed to the deals they want. It will be long, protracted business, some good, some not so good.

We do not have the manufacturing base, or workforce anymore, to become competitive against the far east.

What does that leave us with? Our services industry, which is heavily dependent on our EU membership.

Sounds like a winner to me.........
Old 04 November 2016, 03:12 PM
  #3620  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
O so everything they said was fact? Come on, both sides were at it. Both sides ran negative campaigns.

Look at the US pres election, it isn't about who is better, its about who is least worse.

I talked about deliberate misinformation, not negative campaigns...oh, sorry I mean £350M mistakes (vote grabbing lies).
Old 04 November 2016, 03:13 PM
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
O so everything they said was fact? Come on, both sides were at it. Both sides ran negative campaigns.

Look at the US pres election, it isn't about who is better, its about who is least worse.

Sad but true. And I am confident that not a single poster on this thread has altered their opinion on the subject one iota
Old 04 November 2016, 03:39 PM
  #3622  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
I laugh at the people on their soap box sprouting doom and gloom being proven wrong.
lol, your simply in denial
Old 04 November 2016, 03:49 PM
  #3623  
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Originally Posted by David Lock
Well they might if a second referendum showed a change in the will of the people. I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum as the one we had was such a farce - walking blindfold into the ballot box. Even now we would still be in the dark but there is some light emerging.


But would May have the metaphorical ***** to take this step? I very much doubt it. David

I'd love to see anther vote, both from the perspective of leaving being a dumb thing to do...and to see what the results would be a second time around.
Old 04 November 2016, 04:08 PM
  #3624  
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Originally Posted by trails
I'd love to see anther vote, both from the perspective of leaving being a dumb thing to do...and to see what the results would be a second time around.
I suspect with the current fear and panic mongering it would prob go other way.

But thats what people are like.
Old 04 November 2016, 04:16 PM
  #3625  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
I suspect now some of the most blatant lies have been called out it would prob go other way.

But thats what people are like.

Fixed that for you
Old 04 November 2016, 04:29 PM
  #3626  
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Originally Posted by trails
Fixed that for you
Or you could aqdd that the scaremongering hasn't come to pass as well.

All about perspective
Old 04 November 2016, 05:06 PM
  #3627  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
Or you could aqdd that the scaremongering hasn't come to pass as well.

All about perspective
And how is the pound doing? [Bangs head against wall]
Old 04 November 2016, 05:28 PM
  #3628  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
And the remain were just as bad, the whole argument was won on who could shovel the most **** on the other side
except the highest profile outers have since be completely rumbled as self serving power seekers and little else
Old 04 November 2016, 05:33 PM
  #3629  
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Originally Posted by On-the-bog
Or you could aqdd that the scaremongering hasn't come to pass as well.

All about perspective
That's because we haven't left the EU yet
Old 04 November 2016, 09:56 PM
  #3630  
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Originally Posted by dpb
Their , their .

First time voter ?


Really curious to know the reasoning behind die hard outer
First time voting in the EU referendum obviously

I always vote, im in my early 30's and have been voting since 18 years old, So not a first time voter, and I dont get to upset when the party I vote for doesn't get elected either!!!


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