Notices
Non Scooby Related Anything Non-Scooby related

Steadily it rises..up to 4.75%

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 03 August 2006, 01:58 PM
  #1  
lozgti
Scooby Regular
Thread Starter
 
lozgti's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 2,490
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default Steadily it rises..up to 4.75%

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/5241974.stm

Still a rise.I'm no economist but it seems all the 'experts' were wrong.

There might be a long gap in that graph but it is still going up and has done for a while now
Old 03 August 2006, 02:06 PM
  #2  
KiwiGTI
Scooby Regular
 
KiwiGTI's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 4,631
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

And long may it continue. I look forward to the next recession.
Old 03 August 2006, 02:07 PM
  #3  
Ted Maul
Scooby Regular
 
Ted Maul's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: London Town
Posts: 983
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by lozgti
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/5241974.stm

Still a rise.I'm no economist but it seems all the 'experts' were wrong.

There might be a long gap in that graph but it is still going up and has done for a while now
quite a surprise. only 7 of 50 odd chief economists [redicted it.

still, might be better this way than 2 rises later in the year..people saying this is it for the year though
Old 03 August 2006, 02:18 PM
  #4  
davegtt
Scooby Senior
 
davegtt's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Next door to the WiFi connection
Posts: 16,293
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

No big deal really... Just means we probably wont see any rises later on. Like Ted says, we'll have a year worth of no rises I should imagine.
Old 03 August 2006, 03:14 PM
  #5  
stilover
Scooby Regular
 
stilover's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Here, There, Everywhere
Posts: 10,619
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Just tell someone who's just bought a new house on a variable mortgage that you've heard interest rate could go up to 5.5 percent by this time next year, and watch them sweat !!!
Old 03 August 2006, 03:41 PM
  #6  
davegtt
Scooby Senior
 
davegtt's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Next door to the WiFi connection
Posts: 16,293
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Which idiots bought a new house on a variable mortgage? And even if it did go up to 5.5 you'll see a whole £50 a month more on an £100k mortgage. Not sweating material is it?

Last edited by davegtt; 03 August 2006 at 03:43 PM.
Old 03 August 2006, 04:24 PM
  #7  
The Snug Rhino
Scooby Regular
 
The Snug Rhino's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: I have ad blocked my rep - so dont waste your time!
Posts: 1,548
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

steadily it rises??????

so no move for yonks then up a smidge......thats steady rises is it?
Old 03 August 2006, 04:29 PM
  #8  
stilover
Scooby Regular
 
stilover's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Here, There, Everywhere
Posts: 10,619
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by davegtt
Which idiots bought a new house on a variable mortgage? And even if it did go up to 5.5 you'll see a whole £50 a month more on an £100k mortgage. Not sweating material is it?
Yeah, but quite a few people will have loaded themselves up to the max, and on top of fuel rises, and extra £50/month would be enough to push people over the edge.
Yes I agree that only an idiot would get a mortgage these days at a variable rate, but as fixed one's charge extra, some people are tempted to just go variable as they will pay less if interest rates stay as they are or lower.

Someone posted on here not so long ago about being in financial mess. It only take's a few little rises here and there for it all to add up, then eventually becoming too much.
Old 03 August 2006, 04:36 PM
  #9  
davegtt
Scooby Senior
 
davegtt's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Next door to the WiFi connection
Posts: 16,293
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Yes but like people pointed out, hes probably driving a 20k car that does 20mpg at best. If £50 is too much of a raise you flog it, buy something reliable for £1500 and save a fortune in fuel.... That should be enough to see you 2-3% interest rate rises....
Old 03 August 2006, 04:59 PM
  #10  
john banks
Scooby Regular
 
john banks's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: 32 cylinders and many cats
Posts: 18,658
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

I have the displeasure of driving a rotter (diesel Zafira which is oozing brake fluid, is like an ashtray, doesn't start well and has unbranded tyres that are not good) whilst my car is being fixed. I thought I could do it, but I'd rather sell everything I own first if it came to it

Reserving a 10 year fixed rate for October at 5.19% with complete flexibility for overpayments for my next mortgage is one of my better decisions I think, and makes up for a recent bad time
Old 03 August 2006, 05:03 PM
  #11  
imlach
Scooby Regular
 
imlach's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 1999
Posts: 5,786
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Yes, my 5yr 4.7% fix is now looking like a good decision for once.
Old 03 August 2006, 05:06 PM
  #12  
imlach
Scooby Regular
 
imlach's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 1999
Posts: 5,786
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by john banks
I have the displeasure of driving a rotter (diesel Zafira which is oozing brake fluid, is like an ashtray, doesn't start well and has unbranded tyres that are not good) whilst my car is being fixed. I thought I could do it, but I'd rather sell everything I own first if it came to it
You think that, but once you're out of the performance car scene for a while due to kids/huge house/other, fast cars are an irrevelance If you've been there and done it, it's far easier to get out of it.

It's like Sky - you think you can't do without it, but once it's gone, you don't miss it at all

Anyway, running cars on a budget is far more interesting and fun than shelling out £££'s/month for a performance car. In fact, it's almost the inverse situation. You get more fun the less you have to spend
Old 03 August 2006, 05:11 PM
  #13  
john banks
Scooby Regular
 
john banks's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: 32 cylinders and many cats
Posts: 18,658
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Can't get the cars out my system yet, kids permanently on hold

Maybe the turbo nutter Zafira would be OK

Never had Sky, although I get to see all the latest AV gear on inappropriate home visits to feral children inhabiting social housing
Old 03 August 2006, 05:35 PM
  #14  
imlach
Scooby Regular
 
imlach's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 1999
Posts: 5,786
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

So many ways for ppl to economise anyway if you REALLY need to save £££'s.

1. Ditch your £30/month mobile contract and use PAYG. You don't REALLY need to text/phone all these people.

2. Ditch Sky. Save £40+/month. Freeview has more than enough on it.

3. Subscribe to Freecycle (www.freecycle.org). If something in your house breaks down, you'll get a replacement from there soon enough for free. Tumble dryer breaks? No need to spend £300 on a new one - get one from Freecycle and spend £0.00. Who wants to spend £300 on tumble dryers anyway!

4. Get a bike from Freecycle and cycle a bit more. Saves £££'s in petrol or public transport costs. Hey, gets you fit too
Old 03 August 2006, 06:08 PM
  #15  
J4CKO
Scooby Regular
iTrader: (1)
 
J4CKO's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 19,384
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Imlach, good advice mate.

but,

'Maybe the turbo nutter Zafira would be OK '

In the same way that icing a dog turd makes it taste better !
Old 03 August 2006, 07:17 PM
  #16  
john banks
Scooby Regular
 
john banks's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: 32 cylinders and many cats
Posts: 18,658
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

LOL
Old 03 August 2006, 07:19 PM
  #17  
dpb
Scooby Regular
 
dpb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: riding the crest of a wave ...
Posts: 46,493
Likes: 0
Received 13 Likes on 12 Posts
Default

i wonder if 0.25 % existed before this shower came to office
Old 03 August 2006, 07:21 PM
  #18  
john banks
Scooby Regular
 
john banks's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: 32 cylinders and many cats
Posts: 18,658
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

You have a shower in your office? I suppose that would make cycling a little more convenient.
Old 03 August 2006, 07:26 PM
  #19  
MattN
Scooby Regular
 
MattN's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 2,174
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by stilover
Yeah, but quite a few people will have loaded themselves up to the max, and on top of fuel rises, and extra £50/month would be enough to push people over the edge.
Yes I agree that only an idiot would get a mortgage these days at a variable rate, but as fixed one's charge extra, some people are tempted to just go variable as they will pay less if interest rates stay as they are or lower.

Someone posted on here not so long ago about being in financial mess. It only take's a few little rises here and there for it all to add up, then eventually becoming too much.
I have a variable rate on my new house.

This increase will cost me £10.01 per month. A fixed rate mortgage is more than a variable and you are tied in to it for a certain period. My mortgage means if I get in to trouble I'm not tied down, I can change mortgage (have a 15 year term), sell up and buy something cheaper etc.

You need to consider circumstances before making an such a remark. If we all had fixed rate mortgages people would be stuck in their homes for longer. For me a variable rate at 4.64% was a good deal and gives me flexibility. seeing as I just won £50 on the premium bonds means I'm OK to cover the increase for the next 5 months!

I'm not an idiot and I have a variable rate.
Old 03 August 2006, 07:32 PM
  #20  
john banks
Scooby Regular
 
john banks's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: 32 cylinders and many cats
Posts: 18,658
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

^ indeed. My worry was if the rates tripled that it could be a squeeze spending out half the net household income on the mortgage, and the house might be difficult to shift in a high interest rate climate. Double whammy to which I didn't want to be exposed. Depends on your attitude to risk.

Last edited by john banks; 03 August 2006 at 07:35 PM.
Old 03 August 2006, 07:50 PM
  #21  
imlach
Scooby Regular
 
imlach's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 1999
Posts: 5,786
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

it's like this, and it's simple.

Rates can't do down much, but they can go up loads potentially

In recent times, we've been at the lower end of rates.....
Old 03 August 2006, 07:56 PM
  #22  
N1gel 1970
Scooby Regular
 
N1gel 1970's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Norf Lundon
Posts: 238
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

just saw the announcement on the ch4 news.

as already mentioned, they were saying this morning that the % rate wouldn't be going up.

funny the rise has happened when the house market is at it's quietest
Old 03 August 2006, 08:05 PM
  #23  
Petem95
Scooby Regular
 
Petem95's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Scoobynet
Posts: 5,387
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

I'd be surprised if rates didnt hit 5% by the end of the year as inflation is clearly significant - even if the official figures only show 2.5% (), but then anyone sensible should have nothing to worry about. If youre maxed out on borrowing for that X5, and bought a house in the last couple of years for at insane prices, then you probably stand to get a dose of reality.

People who borrowed amounts that they were able to repay comfortably will simply have less disposible income, and will simply have to adjust their spending habits or save less.
Old 03 August 2006, 08:50 PM
  #24  
unclebuck
Scooby Regular
 
unclebuck's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Talk to the hand....
Posts: 13,331
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

21 quid more a month on the repayments for every 100K of your mortgage.

It's going to push quite a few over-borrowers to the limit, and beyond.
Old 03 August 2006, 10:52 PM
  #25  
Henrik
Scooby Regular
Support Scoobynet!
iTrader: (5)
 
Henrik's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: London
Posts: 4,119
Received 145 Likes on 109 Posts
Default

Even if the 0.25% rise does not hugely increase mortgage payments it sends a message to potential buyers ("normal" and amateur investors) that interest rates might rise as well as fall. This should hopefully make people reflect a bit more about the insane prices they are paying for property.

Hopefully this rise is the first of many.
Old 03 August 2006, 11:22 PM
  #26  
davegtt
Scooby Senior
 
davegtt's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Next door to the WiFi connection
Posts: 16,293
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by unclebuck
21 quid more a month on the repayments for every 100K of your mortgage.

It's going to push quite a few over-borrowers to the limit, and beyond.
sarcasm at its best. Who are the jokers hoping for interest rates to rise because they dont have a home of their own already, put your hands up (or post here) Hoping that people will go bankrupt over a .25% rise in rates (ohhhh its going up watch out people your skint already cause your maxed out with your borrowing)

Sorry, can you tell Ive had a beer tonight
Old 03 August 2006, 11:27 PM
  #27  
J4CKO
Scooby Regular
iTrader: (1)
 
J4CKO's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 19,384
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Well I for one dont care, Gas Bills, Electric, Petrol, for a change an increase that doesn't directly nail me personally !
Old 04 August 2006, 12:09 AM
  #28  
Dracoro
Scooby Regular
 
Dracoro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: A powerslide near you
Posts: 10,261
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by davegtt
sarcasm at its best. Who are the jokers hoping for interest rates to rise because they dont have a home of their own already, put your hands up
Surely it doesn't matter. Interest rates go up, so does mortgage payments for BOTH existing owners and new buyers.

On top of that, a crash is great for many people. It makes trading up to a bigger/nicer place much cheaper. e.g. It currently cost Joe Bloggs £100k to go from his 3 bed semi to a 4 bed detached. Prices tumble and then it only costs £50k to trade up.

All the esscalating prices are only good for speculators/investors who sell (although highly taxed which many forget) or those that like to talk about "how much they've made" (in theory, on paper etc.) Reminds you of the lead up to the dot com crash where we had loads of people banging on about how much their shares 'might' be worth etc. It's only worth something if you sell.
Old 04 August 2006, 07:17 AM
  #29  
Suresh
Scooby Regular
 
Suresh's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2000
Posts: 4,622
Received 2 Likes on 1 Post
Red face

Originally Posted by MattN
I have a variable rate on my new house.

This increase will cost me £10.01 per month. A fixed rate mortgage is more than a variable and you are tied in to it for a certain period. My mortgage means if I get in to trouble I'm not tied down, I can change mortgage (have a 15 year term), sell up and buy something cheaper etc.

You need to consider circumstances before making an such a remark. If we all had fixed rate mortgages people would be stuck in their homes for longer. For me a variable rate at 4.64% was a good deal and gives me flexibility. seeing as I just won £50 on the premium bonds means I'm OK to cover the increase for the next 5 months!

I'm not an idiot and I have a variable rate.
Oh the irony!

As imlach says, the trend can only be upwards at the current levels. You are therefore exposed to something that is quite likely to happen. Provided you understand and accept that risk, then you're okay. The fact that you've hedged your interest rate delta exposure with a premium bond assets tells me you don't really understand it though!

and as to the thread title : "steadily it rises" I expect the thread starter might find a little difficulty getting work as a financial analyst...


P.S. I'm fixed for 10 years at a net rate of under 2% in Euros, so what do I care
Old 04 August 2006, 07:52 AM
  #30  
lozgti
Scooby Regular
Thread Starter
 
lozgti's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 2,490
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Suresh
and as to the thread title : "steadily it rises" I expect the thread starter might find a little difficulty getting work as a financial analyst...

I suppose I could have put 'steadily it falls' if my computer and the BBC graph were upside down


Quick Reply: Steadily it rises..up to 4.75%



All times are GMT +1. The time now is 11:21 AM.