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Old 12 March 2006, 09:21 PM
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Default There is no GOD, get over it.



A hugely long bit of text but worth a read if you're bored.

See next post.

Andy
Old 12 March 2006, 09:21 PM
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Much of what people do is done in the name of God. Irishmen blow each other up in his name. Arabs blow themselves up in his name. Imams and ayatollahs oppress women in his name. Celibate popes and priests mess up people's sex lives in his name. Jewish shohets cut live animals' throats in his name. The achievements of religion in past history -- bloody crusades, torturing inquisitions, mass-murdering conquistadors, culture-destroying missionaries, legally enforced resistance to each new piece of scientific truth until the last possible moment -- are even more impressive. And what has it all been in aid of? I believe it is becoming increasingly clear that the answer is absolutely nothing at all. There is no reason for believing that any sort of gods exist and quite good reason for believing that they do not exist and never have. It has all been a gigantic waste of time and a waste of life. It would be a joke of cosmic proportions if it weren't so tragic.

Why do people believe in God? For most people the answer is still some version of the ancient Argument from Design. We look about us at the beauty and intricacy of the world -- at the aerodynamic sweep of a swallow's wing, at the delicacy of flowers and of the butterflies that fertilize them, through a microscope at the teeming life in every drop of pond water, through a telescope at the crown of a giant redwood tree. We reflect on the electronic complexity and optical perfection of our own eyes that do the looking. If we have any imagination, these things drive us to a sense of awe and reverence. Moreover, we cannot fail to be struck by the obvious resemblance of living organs to the carefully planned designs of human engineers. The argument was most famously expressed in the watchmaker analogy of the eighteenth-century priest William Paley. Even if you didn't know what a watch was, the obviously designed character of its cogs and springs and of how they mesh together for a purpose would force you to conclude "that the watch must have had a maker: that there must have existed, at some time, and at some place or other, an artificer or artificers, who formed it for the purpose which we find it actually to answer; who comprehended its construction, and designed its use." If this is true of a comparatively simple watch, how much the more so is it true of the eye, ear, kidney, elbow joint, brain? These beautiful, complex, intricate, and obviously purpose-built structures must have had their own designer, their own watchmaker -- God.

So ran Paley's argument, and it is an argument that nearly all thoughtful and sensitive people discover for themselves at some stage in their childhood. Throughout most of history it must have seemed utterly convincing, self-evidently true. And yet, as the result of one of the most astonishing intellectual revolutions in history, we now know that it is wrong, or at least superfluous. We now know that the order and apparent purposefulness of the living world has come about through an entirely different process, a process that works without the need for any designer and one that is a consequence of basically very simple laws of physics. This is the process of evolution by natural selection, discovered by Charles Darwin and, independently, by Alfred Russel Wallace.

What do all objects that look as if they must have had a designer have in common? The answer is statistical improbability. If we find a transparent pebble washed into the shape of a crude lens by the sea, we do not conclude that it must have been designed by an optician: the unaided laws of physics are capable of achieving this result; it is not too improbable to have just "happened." But if we find an elaborate compound lens, carefully corrected against spherical and chromatic aberration, coated against glare, and with "Carl Zeiss" engraved on the rim, we know that it could not have just happened by chance. If you take all the atoms of such a compound lens and throw them together at random under the jostling influence of the ordinary laws of physics in nature, it is theoretically possible that, by sheer luck, the atoms would just happen to fall into the pattern of a Zeiss compound lens, and even that the atoms round the rim should happen to fall in such a way that the name Carl Zeiss is etched out. But the number of other ways in which the atoms could, with equal likelihood, have fallen, is so hugely, vastly, immeasurably greater that we can completely discount the chance hypothesis. Chance is out of the question as an explanation.

This is not a circular argument, by the way. It might seem to be circular because, it could be said, any particular arrangement of atoms is, with hindsight, very improbable. As has been said before, when a ball lands on a particular blade of grass on the golf course, it would be foolish to exclaim: "Out of all the billions of blades of grass that it could have fallen on, the ball actually fell on this one. How amazingly, miraculously improbable!" The fallacy here, of course, is that the ball had to land somewhere. We can only stand amazed at the improbability of the actual event if we specify it a priori: for example, if a blindfolded man spins himself round on the tee, hits the ball at random, and achieves a hole in one. That would be truly amazing, because the target destination of the ball is specified in advance.

Of all the trillions of different ways of putting together the atoms of a telescope, only a minority would actually work in some useful way. Only a tiny minority would have Carl Zeiss engraved on them, or, indeed, any recognizable words of any human language. The same goes for the parts of a watch: of all the billions of possible ways of putting them together, only a tiny minority will tell the time or do anything useful. And of course the same goes, a fortiori, for the parts of a living body. Of all the trillions of trillions of ways of putting together the parts of a body, only an infinitesimal minority would live, seek food, eat, and reproduce. True, there are many different ways of being alive -- at least ten million different ways if we count the number of distinct species alive today -- but, however many ways there may be of being alive, it is certain that there are vastly more ways of being dead!

We can safely conclude that living bodies are billions of times too complicated -- too statistically improbable -- to have come into being by sheer chance. How, then, did they come into being? The answer is that chance enters into the story, but not a single, monolithic act of chance. Instead, a whole series of tiny chance steps, each one small enough to be a believable product of its predecessor, occurred one after the other in sequence. These small steps of chance are caused by genetic mutations, random changes -- mistakes really -- in the genetic material. They give rise to changes in the existing bodily structure. Most of these changes are deleterious and lead to death. A minority of them turn out to be slight improvements, leading to increased survival and reproduction. By this process of natural selection, those random changes that turn out to be beneficial eventually spread through the species and become the norm. The stage is now set for the next small change in the evolutionary process. After, say, a thousand of these small changes in series, each change providing the basis for the next, the end result has become, by a process of accumulation, far too complex to have come about in a single act of chance.

For instance, it is theoretically possible for an eye to spring into being, in a single lucky step, from nothing: from bare skin, let's say. It is theoretically possible in the sense that a recipe could be written out in the form of a large number of mutations. If all these mutations happened simultaneously, a complete eye could, indeed, spring from nothing. But although it is theoretically possible, it is in practice inconceivable. The quantity of luck involved is much too large. The "correct" recipe involves changes in a huge number of genes simultaneously. The correct recipe is one particular combination of changes out of trillions of equally probable combinations of chances. We can certainly rule out such a miraculous coincidence. But it is perfectly plausible that the modern eye could have sprung from something almost the same as the modern eye but not quite: a very slightly less elaborate eye. By the same argument, this slightly less elaborate eye sprang from a slightly less elaborate eye still, and so on. If you assume a sufficiently large number of sufficiently small differences between each evolutionary stage and its predecessor, you are bound to be able to derive a full, complex, working eye from bare skin. How many intermediate stages are we allowed to postulate? That depends on how much time we have to play with. Has there been enough time for eyes to evolve by little steps from nothing?

The fossils tell us that life has been evolving on Earth for more than 3,000 million years. It is almost impossible for the human mind to grasp such an immensity of time. We, naturally and mercifully, tend to see our own expected lifetime as a fairly long time, but we can't expect to live even one century. It is 2,000 years since Jesus lived, a time span long enough to blur the distinction between history and myth. Can you imagine a million such periods laid end to end? Suppose we wanted to write the whole history on a single long scroll. If we crammed all of Common Era history into one metre of scroll, how long would the pre-Common Era part of the scroll, back to the start of evolution, be? The answer is that the pre-Common Era part of the scroll would stretch from Milan to Moscow. Think of the implications of this for the quantity of evolutionary change that can be accommodated. All the domestic breeds of dogs -- Pekingeses, poodles, spaniels, Saint Bernards, and Chihuahuas -- have come from wolves in a time span measured in hundreds or at the most thousands of years: no more than two meters along the road from Milan to Moscow. Think of the quantity of change involved in going from a wolf to a Pekingese; now multiply that quantity of change by a million. When you look at it like that, it becomes easy to believe that an eye could have evolved from no eye by small degrees.

It remains necessary to satisfy ourselves that every one of the intermediates on the evolutionary route, say from bare skin to a modern eye, would have been favored by natural selection; would have been an improvement over its predecessor in the sequence or at least would have survived. It is no good proving to ourselves that there is theoretically a chain of almost perceptibly different intermediates leading to an eye if many of those intermediates would have died. It is sometimes argued that the parts of an eye have to be all there together or the eye won't work at all. Half an eye, the argument runs, is no better than no eye at all. You can't fly with half a wing; you can't hear with half an ear. Therefore there can't have been a series of step-by-step intermediates leading up to a modern eye, wing, or ear.

This type of argument is so naive that one can only wonder at the subconscious motives for wanting to believe it. It is obviously not true that half an eye is useless. Cataract sufferers who have had their lenses surgically removed cannot see very well without glasses, but they are still much better off than people with no eyes at all. Without a lens you can't focus a detailed image, but you can avoid bumping into obstacles and you could detect the looming shadow of a predator.

As for the argument that you can't fly with only half a wing, it is disproved by large numbers of very successful gliding animals, including mammals of many different kinds, lizards, frogs, snakes, and squids. Many different kinds of tree-dwelling animals have flaps of skin between their joints that really are fractional wings. If you fall out of a tree, any skin flap or flattening of the body that increases your surface area can save your life. And, however small or large your flaps may be, there must always be a critical height such that, if you fall from a tree of that height, your life would have been saved by just a little bit more surface area. Then, when your descendants have evolved that extra surface area, their lives would be saved by just a bit more still if they fell from trees of a slightly greater height. And so on by insensibly graded steps until, hundreds of generations later, we arrive at full wings.

Eyes and wings cannot spring into existence in a single step. That would be like having the almost infinite luck to hit upon the combination number that opens a large bank vault. But if you spun the dials of the lock at random, and every time you got a little bit closer to the lucky number the vault door creaked open another *****, you would soon have the door open! Essentially, that is the secret of how evolution by natural selection achieves what once seemed impossible. Things that cannot plausibly be derived from very different predecessors can plausibly be derived from only slightly different predecessors. Provided only that there is a sufficiently long series of such slightly different predecessors, you can derive anything from anything else.

Evolution, then, is theoretically capable of doing the job that, once upon a time, seemed to be the prerogative of God. But is there any evidence that evolution actually has happened? The answer is yes; the evidence is overwhelming. Millions of fossils are found in exactly the places and at exactly the depths that we should expect if evolution had happened. Not a single fossil has ever been found in any place where the evolution theory would not have expected it, although this could very easily have happened: a fossil mammal in rocks so old that fishes have not yet arrived, for instance, would be enough to disprove the evolution theory.

The patterns of distribution of living animals and plants on the continents and islands of the world is exactly what would be expected if they had evolved from common ancestors by slow, gradual degrees. The patterns of resemblance among animals and plants is exactly what we should expect if some were close cousins, and others more distant cousins to each other. The fact that the genetic code is the same in all living creatures overwhelmingly suggests that all are descended from one single ancestor. The evidence for evolution is so compelling that the only way to save the creation theory is to assume that God deliberately planted enormous quantities of evidence to make it look as if evolution had happened. In other words, the fossils, the geographical distribution of animals, and so on, are all one gigantic confidence trick. Does anybody want to worship a God capable of such trickery? It is surely far more reverent, as well as more scientifically sensible, to take the evidence at face value. All living creatures are cousins of one another, descended from one remote ancestor that lived more than 3,000 million years ago.

The Argument from Design, then, has been destroyed as a reason for believing in a God. Are there any other arguments? Some people believe in God because of what appears to them to be an inner revelation. Such revelations are not always edifying but they undoubtedly feel real to the individual concerned. Many inhabitants of lunatic asylums have an unshakable inner faith that they are Napoleon or, indeed, God himself. There is no doubting the power of such convictions for those that have them, but this is no reason for the rest of us to believe them. Indeed, since such beliefs are mutually contradictory, we can't believe them all.

There is a little more that needs to be said. Evolution by natural selection explains a lot, but it couldn't start from nothing. It couldn't have started until there was some kind of rudimentary reproduction and heredity. Modern heredity is based on the DNA code, which is itself too complicated to have sprung spontaneously into being by a single act of chance. This seems to mean that there must have been some earlier hereditary system, now disappeared, which was simple enough to have arisen by chance and the laws of chemistry and which provided the medium in which a primitive form of cumulative natural selection could get started. DNA was a later product of this earlier cumulative selection. Before this original kind of natural selection, there was a period when complex chemical compounds were built up from simpler ones and before that a period when the chemical elements were built up from simpler elements, following the well-understood laws of physics. Before that, everything was ultimately built up from pure hydrogen in the immediate aftermath of the big bang, which initiated the universe.

There is a temptation to argue that, although God may not be needed to explain the evolution of complex order once the universe, with its fundamental laws of physics, had begun, we do need a God to explain the origin of all things. This idea doesn't leave God with very much to do: just set off the big bang, then sit back and wait for everything to happen. The physical chemist Peter Atkins, in his beautifully written book The Creation, postulates a lazy God who strove to do as little as possible in order to initiate everything. Atkins explains how each step in the history of the universe followed, by simple physical law, from its predecessor. He thus pares down the amount of work that the lazy creator would need to do and eventually concludes that he would in fact have needed to do nothing at all!

The details of the early phase of the universe belong to the realm of physics, whereas I am a biologist, more concerned with the later phases of the evolution of complexity. For me, the important point is that, even if the physicist needs to postulate an irreducible minimum that had to be present in the beginning, in order for the universe to get started, that irreducible minimum is certainly extremely simple. By definition, explanations that build on simple premises are more plausible and more satisfying than explanations that have to postulate complex and statistically improbable beginnings. And you can't get much more complex than an Almighty God!
Old 12 March 2006, 09:57 PM
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Is that one of astraboy's reviews?
Old 12 March 2006, 09:58 PM
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Bit of an epic isn't it.

Andy
Old 12 March 2006, 10:00 PM
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Doesn't he live in number 11?
Old 12 March 2006, 10:04 PM
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Hopefully for not much longer Paul.
Old 12 March 2006, 10:13 PM
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Fuzz, that encapsulates what I believe. It's a shame that few people will be bothered to read it, or even worse, read it and fail to take its message on board.

Bubs.
Old 12 March 2006, 10:27 PM
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or even worse, omit the theory of evolution from education
Old 12 March 2006, 10:33 PM
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Albert47
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Only took 20 mins to read.

Interesting though! But it does make sense!

Dare we believe that there is no such thing as god and it was all evolution?????
Old 12 March 2006, 10:44 PM
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Bubba po
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Originally Posted by Jay m A
or even worse, omit the theory of evolution from education
That's not going to happen in this country, thankfully.

America is seriously fucked up on this issue
Old 12 March 2006, 10:45 PM
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Originally Posted by Albert47
Only took 20 mins to read.

Interesting though! But it does make sense!

Dare we believe that there is no such thing as god and it was all evolution?????
It's a perfect, internally consistent explanation, based on masses of readily-available data. Unlike religion.
Old 12 March 2006, 10:48 PM
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Reference is Free Inquiry Magazine, author is Richard Dawkins for anyone interested in reading further.

Richard Dawkins Bibliography:

http://www.simonyi.ox.ac.uk/dawkins/...k/biblio.shtml

Last edited by john banks; 12 March 2006 at 10:52 PM.
Old 12 March 2006, 10:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Bubba po
It's a perfect, internally consistent explanation, based on masses of readily-available data. Unlike religion.

Im not questioning that. It is perfect.

I meant, is it not a scary though to think that there is nothing after you die.
Old 12 March 2006, 11:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Albert47
Im not questioning that. It is perfect.

I meant, is it not a scary though to think that there is nothing after you die.
No, I don't think it's scary to think that there's nothing after you die. It's infinitely more scary to believe, as some religions do, that you will suffer eternal torture for relatively slight transgressions like preventing pregnancy by artificial means, or that you might have to w**k your way back up to a human existence via a sequence of lifetimes as a lower organism.
Old 12 March 2006, 11:06 PM
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There is something after you die. Your atoms are redistributed around the planet. Scientists have worked out that people in the Uk alive today have in their body the some of the same atoms that once belonged to Shakespeare. And of course the odd atom from every other biodegradable object of that time!
Old 12 March 2006, 11:17 PM
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Cool

Atoms are eternal. They are just redistributed through time. Hydrogen and helium were created instants after the Big Bang. Heavier elements were created in stars. That is what we are made of. We are made of stars.

Isn't that that more amazing than all the imaginings that people call religion.

So when you die your constituent atoms continue to be redistributed until the end of time.

So don't worry get on with life. It is the most amazing gift you could imagine.
Old 12 March 2006, 11:28 PM
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Originally Posted by CharlesW
Atoms are eternal. They are just redistributed through time. Hydrogen and helium were created instants after the Big Bang. Heavier elements were created in stars. That is what we are made of. We are made of stars.

Isn't that that more amazing than all the imaginings that people call religion.

So when you die your constituent atoms continue to be redistributed until the end of time.

So don't worry get on with life. It is the most amazing gift you could imagine.
That may be true but knowing I have work tomorrow morning it doesn't feel like it!
Old 12 March 2006, 11:50 PM
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I dunno about work tomorrow, I'm more worried about the night ahead, I've just finished watching "Descent"

I also believe the evolution theory, It's hard not to as it's based on fact hence the reason I posted it.

What I still cant get my head around is dying, hopefully the feeling will pass as I age but if not I can only see it getting worse as the "time" gets closer.
That is the most scary thing ever, much more than the film I've just watched anyway.
<shakes head in an effort not to think about it..>

Andy

Bit of light reading for the IT bods on thier coffee stop tomorrow anyway
Old 13 March 2006, 01:21 AM
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There is no mechanism in evolution 'molecules to humans theory' to increase information in the genome - even Richard Dawkins cannot give an example...
Old 13 March 2006, 08:07 AM
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Funny that it is Dawkins that has become such a well known voice when it comes to sociobiology, and not Edward O. Wilson. Probably gems like "a chicken is but an egg's way to produce another egg." from The Selfish Gene.

Read an interesting article a few weeks ago about the role of Erasmus Darwin, Charles' grandfather. His grandson owes him !

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erasmus_Darwin
Old 13 March 2006, 09:51 AM
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Originally Posted by Bubba po
That's not going to happen in this country, thankfully.

America is seriously fucked up on this issue
Erm.......
http://www.redpepper.org.uk/KYE/x-kye-Jun2005.htm

Not as bad as the US, but small steps here and there and who knows what the end product will be. Apparently Reg Vardy has 3 schools in this country spewing his crap. Interesting programme on the whole thing last week. Majority of the parents were happy with kids hearing the creation theory as the exams results were good
Old 13 March 2006, 11:32 AM
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Don't know about Evolution ,but i'am more than happy with my scooby thank God!!
Old 13 March 2006, 11:59 AM
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Originally Posted by Mick
There is no mechanism in evolution 'molecules to humans theory' to increase information in the genome - even Richard Dawkins cannot give an example...
Would you clarify what you're claiming here, I think you may be trying to damn evolution for claims it never made.
Old 13 March 2006, 12:02 PM
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But who or what lit the cosmic torch paper? From where did the hydrogen appear and what lay beyond the irreducible minimum? Dawkins always cosily skirts this issue with the "I'm not a physicist" line and physicists just say "don't know, sorry". Anyone know? I'd love to find out before the atoms I've borrowed are redistributed across the universe.

P.S. Thanks for the interesting topic Fuzz.
Old 13 March 2006, 12:04 PM
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Has anybody heard of the term 'intelligent design'?? Basically where this article was talking about the eye being built up over time from a slightly inferior eye, the intelligent design theory can dismiss this.

Basically there is an organism in out cells called the flagella virus, or something like that. It gets around with an outboard motor type device. Now this outboard motor is made up of some 15 parts which are all NECESSARY for this motor to work. Now how can something like this develop when all the parts are necessary, yet if 1 was missing then the whole thing would not work and cause no function, no function means darwins theory would not work, this useless device would not be kept to develop into an outboard motor.

The complexity of the human body point towards design, not luck or chance but a specific plan.
Old 13 March 2006, 12:06 PM
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Default Having the last laugh

We will only find out who is right when we die. If the article is wrong i'll be laughing at you as im sat in heaven, if it right then you'll not be able to gloat anyway as they'll be nothing.
Old 13 March 2006, 12:07 PM
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Originally Posted by King RA
Has anybody heard of the term 'intelligent design'?? Basically where this article was talking about the eye being built up over time from a slightly inferior eye, the intelligent design theory can dismiss this.

Basically there is an organism in out cells called the flagella virus, or something like that. It gets around with an outboard motor type device. Now this outboard motor is made up of some 15 parts which are all NECESSARY for this motor to work. Now how can something like this develop when all the parts are necessary, yet if 1 was missing then the whole thing would not work and cause no function, no function means darwins theory would not work, this useless device would not be kept to develop into an outboard motor.

The complexity of the human body point towards design, not luck or chance but a specific plan.
Dawkins completely shattered the flagella virus theory and dismissed it as propaganda by the pro-ID community. I'll try and dig it out.
Old 13 March 2006, 12:09 PM
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Originally Posted by JTaylor
But who or what lit the cosmic torch paper? From where did the hydrogen appear and what lay beyond the irreducible minimu? Dawkins always cosily skirts this issue with the "I'm not a physicist" line and physicists just say "don't know, sorry". Anyone know? I'd love to find out before the atoms I've borrowed are redistributed across the universe.
The origins of the universe is dealt with by cosmology and physics, life (and biology) are relative new comers to the time line. Dawkins does not "cosily skirt" he honestly states he is not involved in the scientific discipline involved in investigating the origins of the universe.

The physicists don't have the answers yet, but they are finding out more all the time. I try to keep up with the goings on at a very high level, but physics never was my strong subject. There is an awful lot of information out there about the origins of the universe and it is quite mend bending stuff. If you want to get in to it, start with something like "A brief history of time". It's a little dated now, but it's still a good primer to get you going.
Old 13 March 2006, 12:10 PM
  #29  
JTaylor
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Originally Posted by MY93WRX
We will only find out who is right when we die. If the article is wrong i'll be laughing at you as im sat in heaven, if it right then you'll not be able to gloat anyway as they'll be nothing.
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Old 13 March 2006, 12:10 PM
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OllyK
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Originally Posted by King RA
Has anybody heard of the term 'intelligent design'?? Basically where this article was talking about the eye being built up over time from a slightly inferior eye, the intelligent design theory can dismiss this.

Basically there is an organism in out cells called the flagella virus, or something like that. It gets around with an outboard motor type device. Now this outboard motor is made up of some 15 parts which are all NECESSARY for this motor to work. Now how can something like this develop when all the parts are necessary, yet if 1 was missing then the whole thing would not work and cause no function, no function means darwins theory would not work, this useless device would not be kept to develop into an outboard motor.

The complexity of the human body point towards design, not luck or chance but a specific plan.
ID is just creationism re-packaged. It's nothing new, it isn't science, it's god of the gaps. And what you have posted has been refuted.


Quick Reply: There is no GOD, get over it.



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