Heatwave on the way!!!
26 September 2011, 11:48 AM
#36
Scooby Regular
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 39,877
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes
on
0 Posts
Bit unfair to blame the Met men completely when the forecast turns out to be wrong.
The weather depends on so many variables, movement of air masses, height of the tropause, temperature inversions or not, relative humidity, movement of the polar front,relative pressures which affect the wind strength and direction, air mass temperature to name but a few.
All the meteorologists can do is to take all the readings, and determine what might happen helped by the computer software.
If everything remains stable then they have a half decent chance of getting it right. All those items are entropic in character in that no one can be certain that they will remain constant and many of them can change for no good reason. That is why forecast weather can change by the time it arrives of course.
Weather is also affected by local conditions and that can also ruin a forecast unless a locally based metman gets a chance to say his bit with the benefit of his knowledge.
Basically the met office is often on a hiding to nothing and it is not necessarily their fault.
Les
The weather depends on so many variables, movement of air masses, height of the tropause, temperature inversions or not, relative humidity, movement of the polar front,relative pressures which affect the wind strength and direction, air mass temperature to name but a few.
All the meteorologists can do is to take all the readings, and determine what might happen helped by the computer software.
If everything remains stable then they have a half decent chance of getting it right. All those items are entropic in character in that no one can be certain that they will remain constant and many of them can change for no good reason. That is why forecast weather can change by the time it arrives of course.
Weather is also affected by local conditions and that can also ruin a forecast unless a locally based metman gets a chance to say his bit with the benefit of his knowledge.
Basically the met office is often on a hiding to nothing and it is not necessarily their fault.
Les
27 September 2011, 03:10 PM
#45
Scooby Regular
Thread Starter
27 September 2011, 05:28 PM
#46
Scooby Regular
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: My turbo blows, air lots of it!!
Posts: 9,073
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes
on
0 Posts
Was supposed to be sunny as **** here today, but instead it's pissed down with rain and been grey and dark and gloomy all day.
Forecast for tomorrows going to be sunny too aparently, I won't hold me breath.
Forecast for tomorrows going to be sunny too aparently, I won't hold me breath.
28 September 2011, 02:22 PM
#53
Scooby Regular
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Some country and western
Posts: 13,488
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes
on
0 Posts
28 September 2011, 03:01 PM
#54
Scooby Regular
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post