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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 01:19 PM
  #1771  
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So?

House prices to crash this autumn and winter?

To be 30% less after 30 months?

I reckon so .....
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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 05:27 PM
  #1772  
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Originally Posted by john banks
I program a lot in low level languages, so I notice values like 32p and approx 512p
Wimpey were 9p at their lowest, I think they have a lot of debt but are still worth a punt for the long run.

Pete, Persimmon Homes and Barrats are selling more than double the amount of houses now as compared to when the rescession 1st kicked in. Even if the housing market dips again it will never be as bad as what it was 3 years ago!
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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 06:07 PM
  #1773  
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First rule of multiple choice questions, a statement with "never" in it is nearly always false
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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 07:02 PM
  #1774  
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Originally Posted by john banks
First rule of multiple choice questions, a statement with "never" in it is nearly always false
Yes, bit like those old physiology mcqs hey John?
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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 08:40 PM
  #1775  
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I remember a few of the "Experts " on here telling us all we would be on Interest rates of 4-5% by now .!!!!!!!!!

And prices would have dropped 40% throughout the land by now as well .






The country has a housing shortage ,and its getting worse .Oil is running out but I dont see them dropping the price of it .!!!!! Hello .Hello !!!!!
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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 09:46 PM
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some friends have just sold - on a road just south ot Westbourne Park Road

a very modest house really -- tall and thin etc

4 million was the final price -- plenty of money about, obviously not enough land to go round
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Old Aug 6, 2010 | 10:29 PM
  #1777  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
some friends have just sold - on a road just south ot Westbourne Park Road

a very modest house really -- tall and thin etc

4 million was the final price -- plenty of money about, obviously not enough land to go round
Thanks
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Old Aug 7, 2010 | 02:44 AM
  #1778  
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Originally Posted by pslewis
So?

House prices to crash this autumn and winter?

To be 30% less after 30 months?

I reckon so .....
Is that 30% less than when you started predicting the crash in 2002? You still haven't produced the balance of figures for the forced sales. I know what the figures are. I just want you to post them or avoid the question, either of which will show everyone how little you actually understand
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Old Aug 7, 2010 | 08:18 AM
  #1779  
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Originally Posted by Dingdongler
Thanks
no problem
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Old Aug 7, 2010 | 03:58 PM
  #1780  
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Originally Posted by fast bloke
Is that 30% less than when you started predicting the crash in 2002? You still haven't produced the balance of figures for the forced sales. I know what the figures are. I just want you to post them or avoid the question, either of which will show everyone how little you actually understand
He always goes quiet when he gets found out...Dont feel like your being left out..
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Old Aug 7, 2010 | 05:58 PM
  #1781  
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I predicted the global downturn ... way back, 4 years before it happened!! Little did I know that it would be just as bad as I feared

I'm so intuitive I scare myself sometimes ....
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Old Aug 7, 2010 | 10:57 PM
  #1782  
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Originally Posted by pslewis
I predicted the global downturn ... way back, 4 years before it happened!! Little did I know that it would be just as bad as I feared

I'm so intuitive I scare myself sometimes ....

You scare me as well, but for different reasons
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Old Aug 8, 2010 | 01:24 AM
  #1783  
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Originally Posted by pslewis
I predicted the global downturn ... way back, 4 years before it happened!! Little did I know that it would be just as bad as I feared

I'm so intuitive I scare myself sometimes ....
Give yourself some credit - You predicted it 6 years before it started. (and 5 years and 4 years and 3 years etc etc.....) It was obvious to anyone that following Tony B.Liar's policies would eventually lead to the biggest bust in history. Do you really believe that it was Browns 90 days of leading the country that caused the bust?p.s. Still can't see your reply about the forced sales. Do you really not know?
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 07:16 PM
  #1784  
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Tony Blair caused the Global Downturn? What utter claptrap!

Anywhere, back to House Prices .... first fall in 12 Months announced today.

Is this the start of the 30% fall which will take 30 months?

Could be......................
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 07:22 PM
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The only reason there is a fall is due to lack of buyers being able to get a mortgage, once the banks start lending again everything will be ok.
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 07:27 PM
  #1786  
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Nothing to do with the fact that 1st time buyers need a £35,000 Deposit to buy?

Nothing to do with the fact that prices are stupidly high?

Nothing to do with the fact that there is a flood of houses for sale and no buyers?

Nothing to do with the fact that people fear for their jobs?

Nothing to do with the fact that most employees are not getting a pay rise this year?

Nothing to do with the fact that houses are forecast to fall dramatically in value over the next 2 years?

Nah, it's not as simple as just limited mortgage availability - it's much deeper than that.
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 07:38 PM
  #1787  
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Its just a lack of confidence in the market to be honest .Yes people are still unsure about taking on a mortgage ,just in case the interest rate goes up next year .

So come on Bo E ,put your nuts on the line and tell us we will have sub 1% interest rates for the next 5 years .!!!!!!


That will get things shifting !!!
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 07:52 PM
  #1788  
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"Lack of confidence". Lol. Much like the lack of confidence when the NASDAQ bubble burst. This is just one that hasn't fully burst yet.
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 07:54 PM
  #1789  
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we are just seeing the early stages of increasing ghetto-isation within the UK

crap property will fall in value, creating ghettos a la the USA

decent property in decent areas will always hold its value

(until it really goes pop - but I think when that happens we will all have more to worry about than house prices)
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 08:00 PM
  #1790  
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Originally Posted by stevebt
The only reason there is a fall is due to lack of buyers being able to get a mortgage, once the banks start lending again everything will be ok.



Pete,
House prices are bound to fall as there are a lot more for sale now than last year, combination of Housebuilders starting to build again and people suddenly seeing houses selling and sticking theirs up. Bad news is better than good and the media love making facts sound bad. Answer me this, are completed sales dropping or increasing over last year?

Aaron
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Old Aug 10, 2010 | 10:51 PM
  #1791  
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Sales numbers don't matter as much as the prices being attained .... and they are about to fall 30%!
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 02:27 AM
  #1792  
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[quote=pslewis;9541396]Sales numbers don't matter as much as the prices being attained ....quote]

So give us the land registry prices (actual completion prices, not asking prices) and the LRP stripping out forced sales then. Hang on, I think I already asked you that..... you can google it if you are stuck
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 08:54 AM
  #1793  
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been reported on the news prices are dropping again, so for once pete might be right
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 09:27 AM
  #1794  
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Originally Posted by Tidgy
been reported on the news prices are dropping again, so for once pete might be right
Let's hope so!
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 10:39 AM
  #1795  
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What are peoples predictions on the Bank of England interest rates for the coming years? My mortgage is up for renewal but I've gone onto the banks standard rate which is much lower then my fixed was.
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 10:50 AM
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^^ I Understand that this lady has a good handle on it

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_8Ro4IMkh2M...ic-Meg-001.jpg

TX.
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 12:01 PM
  #1797  
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Noticed that the Fed are going to continue buying U.S. treasuries and mortgage backed securities to 'stimulate' the economy, keep their cost of borrowing and mortgage rates low, so that the whole house of cards doesn't fall down when people have to spend most of their income on their mortgage. So in other words they're going to continue to print more money.

Couldn't believe that when I saw it last night, but then I saw this: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-0...oderating.html

Seems like we might have more of our own stimulus.

In other words every one of us is going to get further in debt so that we can prop up people/sectors that aren't doing anything/are a drain on the economy.
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 12:27 PM
  #1798  
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Originally Posted by Jimpreza
What are peoples predictions on the Bank of England interest rates for the coming years? My mortgage is up for renewal but I've gone onto the banks standard rate which is much lower then my fixed was.

suposedly they are gonna stay the same, but thats just jurno gossip rather than definate answer. with the risk of double dip i can;t see them putting them up though.
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Old Aug 11, 2010 | 01:08 PM
  #1799  
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I reckon they won't move this year, but will be upto 1% by the end of next year.
We have just bough our first house and are waiting on the mortgage approval as we speak.
We will be there for the long term so i don't give two ***** what happens in the mean time. Sold our flat for what we paid for it in 2006, so not too bad thanks very much. Plus, it was ward-homes that we part exchanged our old property with.
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Old Aug 24, 2010 | 10:43 PM
  #1800  
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I see that House Sales in the USA have collapsed 27%!!

What happens there happens here a few months later ..... get ready for House Prices at 30% OFF where we are now - by September 2011.

Then, I believe, rampant inflation will take hold and Interest Rates will be hiked (maybe to 8%) ..... wages will increase as Employees demand Inflation busting pay deals ..... House Prices will then start rising and hit 2007 levels in 2013.

That's what my crystal ball says ....
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