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-   -   Royal Mail share offer (https://www.scoobynet.com/non-scooby-related-4/985777-royal-mail-share-offer.html)

Dingdongler 19 September 2013 06:57 PM

Royal Mail share offer
 
Anybody going to buy some?

dpb 19 September 2013 10:47 PM

Probably should do

riiidaa 19 September 2013 10:51 PM

Tell Sid

Boro 20 September 2013 12:20 AM

If I see Sid, I'll tell him

cster 20 September 2013 06:27 AM

Is a business model so dependent on delivering unsolicited advertising material viable in the long term, or is it going to go the way of the video shop and other such dinosaurs?
In the age of email, I wonder if the government is doing the equivalent of Branson and his Virgin Megastores?
If it was on Dragons Den, they'd be having a right old laugh.

Dingdongler 20 September 2013 06:50 AM


Originally Posted by cster (Post 11213825)
Is a business model so dependent on delivering unsolicited advertising material viable in the long term, or is it going to go the way of the video shop and other such dinosaurs?
In the age of email, I wonder if the government is doing the equivalent of Branson and his Virgin Megastores?
If it was on Dragons Den, they'd be having a right old laugh.


Not quite mate.

I'm no expert but a friend compiled a report for a big financial institution about the share offering and the RM business model etc.

It is actually a very viable business, the money is all in the parcel delivery side (given the rise of internet shopping etc)

ReallyReallyGoodMeat 20 September 2013 12:34 PM

Depends on the price, market cap, etc shirley.

f1_fan 20 September 2013 01:01 PM


Originally Posted by Dingdongler (Post 11213830)
Not quite mate.

I'm no expert but a friend compiled a report for a big financial institution about the share offering and the RM business model etc.

It is actually a very viable business, the money is all in the parcel delivery side (given the rise of internet shopping etc)

This ^^^^ It's a good investment IMO!

Not that my lefty leanings will let me buy into some capitalist pig's bright idea ;)

c_maguire 20 September 2013 01:37 PM

I wouldn't.

I was talking about this recently with our postie, a longterm employee who more or less confirmed what I suspected was the case in most large companies - too many chiefs, not enough indians, poor morale, ill-informed policies from management, stupid team-building courses, endless consultants, grafters propping up the ever increasing number of slackers who never seem to get pulled up for it.
According to him (and he's fairly cogent) he can't remember the last time he delivered a utility bill, which used to be a large part of the business, and but for Amazon they would probably be in some bother.

You only have to pay attention to a lot of their vehicles to get a hint. They don't clean them enough inside or out, many have faded paint on the front and roof like some sh#tty Corsa/Nova, they are not servicing them properly so they not infrequently roll up in rentals, hub caps missing, kerbed wheels etc.
If Royal Mail had some infrastructure such as the railways or the telephone network which other providers need to use then they might be worth a punt. But they don't. And all the profit is in parcels and the urban areas. Let the cherry picking commence in earnest.

c_maguire 20 September 2013 01:40 PM


Originally Posted by Dingdongler (Post 11213830)
Not quite mate.

I'm no expert but a friend compiled a report for a big financial institution about the share offering and the RM business model etc.

It is actually a very viable business, the money is all in the parcel delivery side (given the rise of internet shopping etc)

Parcels are an open market.
I wonder how much of ParcelForce's business is as a result of brand loyalty as a result of the direct association with Royal Mail. Take that loyalty away by privatising Royal Mail and then what?

alcazar 20 September 2013 02:20 PM

Royal Mail have been systematically pricing themselves out fo the market.

It's now dearer to send the same parcel inland as it is to send it to France!

PaulC72 20 September 2013 06:59 PM

they may be pricey, out of date but even privatised do you think the governement would let them fail? I don't becuase they are the original posting system for the country they carry the royal name etc so I think they would pump money into it until the cows come home, just like the banks ;-)

BLU 20 September 2013 08:22 PM

The've actually got to float it on the stock exchange before anyone can buy shares ;) Thats going to encounter some stiff public opposition imho.

Dingdongler 20 September 2013 09:31 PM


Originally Posted by BLU (Post 11214344)
The've actually got to float it on the stock exchange before anyone can buy shares ;) Thats going to encounter some stiff public opposition imho.



There is nothing that the public can do

alcazar 20 September 2013 09:37 PM

When they privatised the railways, it was said that only 40 people in the UK thought it was a good idea.

Unfortunately, all of them were in John Major's cabinet......

madscoob 20 September 2013 09:42 PM

parcal side of things is well pricey £11 to send a pair of shoes sold on ebay. it would of been £8.50 using tnt

Chip 21 September 2013 05:19 PM


Originally Posted by c_maguire (Post 11214050)
I wouldn't.

I was talking about this recently with our postie, a longterm employee who more or less confirmed what I suspected was the case in most large companies - too many chiefs, not enough indians, poor morale, ill-informed policies from management, stupid team-building courses, endless consultants, grafters propping up the ever increasing number of slackers who never seem to get pulled up for it.
According to him (and he's fairly cogent) he can't remember the last time he delivered a utility bill, which used to be a large part of the business, and but for Amazon they would probably be in some bother.

You only have to pay attention to a lot of their vehicles to get a hint. They don't clean them enough inside or out, many have faded paint on the front and roof like some sh#tty Corsa/Nova, they are not servicing them properly so they not infrequently roll up in rentals, hub caps missing, kerbed wheels etc.
If Royal Mail had some infrastructure such as the railways or the telephone network which other providers need to use then they might be worth a punt. But they don't. And all the profit is in parcels and the urban areas. Let the cherry picking commence in earnest.

Surely if all of the above is correct, which it is not , then there is plenty of reason to buy shares in the RM as all of your points are something that can, and will be addressed by the new management team that will be put in place once privatised.

Dingdongler 21 September 2013 06:49 PM


Originally Posted by Chip (Post 11214876)
Surely if all of the above is correct, which it is not , then there is plenty of reason to buy shares in the RM as all of your points are something that can, and will be addressed by the new management team that will be put in place once privatised.



Chip, that's exactly what I thought.

Chip 21 September 2013 06:54 PM


Originally Posted by BLU (Post 11214344)
The've actually got to float it on the stock exchange before anyone can buy shares ;) Thats going to encounter some stiff public opposition imho.

The only thing the public can do is not buy the shares. This will, I imagine not happen though.

c_maguire 21 September 2013 09:03 PM


Originally Posted by Chip (Post 11214876)
Surely if all of the above is correct, which it is not , then there is plenty of reason to buy shares in the RM as all of your points are something that can, and will be addressed by the new management team that will be put in place once privatised.

Which bits aren't then?
And why would you think any new management team will do anything ultimately positive? As soon as you privatise and shareholders become the prime concern, Royal Mail will be well on its way to rural deliveries every two days, businesses will become priority customers at the expense of private customers etc.

Modern management stinks, because it doesn't manage. It facilitates, or some such garbage.


Buy the shares if you feel that confident.

BLU 22 September 2013 10:05 AM


Originally Posted by Chip (Post 11214876)
Surely if all of the above is correct, which it is not

You reckon??
I think you'll find that a vote by CWU members says otherwise!!

Results from June 2013

Q1: Do you oppose the privatisation of Royal Mail? YES 96%
Q2: Do you support the boycott of competitors' mail? YES 92%
Q3: Do you support the CWU Pay claim? YES 99%
Q4: Do you support the policy of non-cooperation? YES 92%

Q4 is a result of what you think is not happening with regards to management and low morale etc........ Thats quite a percentage from a 74% turnout imho!

Source http://www.cwu.org/news/archive/ball...atisation.html

Chip 22 September 2013 10:28 AM

Which goes to show how the posties are being manipulated by the leftie CWU. If you took most of those who voted aside and asked them why they were voting in this way they wouldn't have a clue.

8.6% over 3 years plus bonuses, they should be snapping their hands off.

Privatisation will happen like it or not.

It was the same when British Gas was privatised, the union idiots even claimed gas wouldn't be piped to outlying areas any more. All complete lefty bollocks of course.

hodgy0_2 22 September 2013 10:36 AM

Being in private hands is absolutely no guarantee that a company will be well run I am afraid

Chip 22 September 2013 10:37 AM

Of course it's not, but a private firm has pressure from shareholders to perform efficiently. A state owned firm doesn’t have this pressure and so it is easier for them to be inefficient.

BLU 22 September 2013 10:45 AM


Originally Posted by Chip (Post 11215375)
Which goes to show how the posties are being manipulated by the leftie CWU. If you took most of those who voted aside and asked them why they were voting in this way they wouldn't have a clue.

8.6% over 3 years plus bonuses, they should be snapping their hands off.

Privatisation will happen like it or not.

It was the same when British Gas was privatised, the union idiots even claimed gas wouldn't be piped to outlying areas any more. All complete lefty bollocks of course.

If you speak to a lot of lower grade RM managers I'm sure a fair few will agree with the posties, they're also being put under unreasonable pressure by higher management!! There is even talk of a joint strike with CWU and CMA. That would make things interesting!!
Lower management and the posties have turned the company around despite most of the technology being outdated and unreliable! Perhaps if they stopped focusing on privatisation and started re-investing the profit made (by the staff) RM could continue to run as it is without being a burden on the taxpayer, simples!!

You don't mention any of the unreasonable strings attached to the pay deal either...........

BLU 22 September 2013 10:49 AM


Originally Posted by Chip (Post 11215390)
Of course it's not, but a private firm has pressure from shareholders to perform efficiently. A state owned firm doesn’t have this pressure and so it is easier for them to be inefficient.

Maybe it will be forced to run efficiently (it does alredy considering its outdated infrastructure though) but at what cost to workers terms and conditions. As soon as the three year deal expires most of the workforce will be forced to go either part time or on zero/one hour contracts. Hardly good for the economy. Thers a huge chance a foreign buyer will purchase RM meaning a lot of the profits may get taken out of our economy altogether....... its a disaster waiting to happen imho :cry:

Chip 22 September 2013 10:49 AM


Originally Posted by BLU (Post 11215396)
Lower management and the posties have turned the company around

Under the direction of the higher management I presume.

BLU 22 September 2013 10:51 AM


Originally Posted by Chip (Post 11215404)
Under the direction of the higher management I presume.

I doubt it. I think you'll find that its the posties and lower managment who pass on their thoughts as to what will and won't work up to higher management who then take all the glory. Thats how businesses of all shapes and sizes work. Anyone who thinks otherwise is as naive as f*ck

BLU 22 September 2013 10:56 AM


Originally Posted by alcazar (Post 11214068)
Royal Mail have been systematically pricing themselves out fo the market.

It's now dearer to send the same parcel inland as it is to send it to France!

Thats because its been starved of crucial investment by various different governments and seriously bad management over several decades! RM is now playing catch up, hence the sudden increase in prices.
TBH, though, the way they've started to price up parcels is commercial suicide....

f1_fan 22 September 2013 10:57 AM

Leaving all the usual accepted SN bollocks of 'private companies are always wonderful, state run outfits are always terrible/the unions are the spawn of the devil' behind the sole reason the RM provatisation will be a good investment is exactly as Ding posted earlier.... Internet shopping is only going to continue to expand and grab more and more of the market as the high street is going into terminal decline partly through shortsightedness and the councils being too stupid to work out that if you charrge astronomic business rates and stupidly high charges to park people will find another way... the net!


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