Originally Posted by Devildog
(Post 11852133)
I doubt legally she can veto the exit Jon. And a "win" doesn't just mean a second referendum on independence. Arguably it would have been in Boris' best interest for remain to win by a small margin - giving him the opportunity to take the political high ground.
We all need to start thinking beyind the obvious and more outside the box here. |
All Sturgeon needs to do is sit back and wait. She's holding all the cards.
Watch how the government handle the removal of the UK from the EU. If it looks like Scotland is going to benefit, she can claim she steered Scotland through troubled waters and the country is better off. If the government handle things badly or get screwed over by the EU she can call a referendum to save Scotland from the miss-management of Westminster. She then puts herself in same the position of whoever is going to draw the short straw and take over after Cameron. Get it right, and you're a god, get it wrong and history will forget the how and why we got there, just who pulled the trigger. If the government really doesn't want to enact article 50 the only choice is for the new PM to call an election. The issue then will be who gets to choose the "Lets press on with A5" and the side that says "Lets not and hope the EU doesn't punish us too much" - think I'm repeating what someone replied to one of my posts with but it stands to reason. My main concern right now is where the hell is Boris. He better be coming up with the plan to end all plans. If he finally shows his face with no plan or even a whiff of indecision, he will be ridiculed for all eternity. |
Originally Posted by Devildog
(Post 11852129)
What part of my post don't you understand? 38% of the voting population voted leave.
The people of Scotland don't vote to leave. The people of NI didn't vote to leave. I'm not arguing that the majority of those voting didn't vote leave - my point is that because of the UK's unique position as a sovereign state of 4 countries its not (or shouldn't be) that simple. If Scotland and NI had voted even 50.000000001% to leave then the (and my) position would be different. But I've got the urge for a little bet that we won't actually end up leaving.I think the EU will maybe offer us a deal,and we will end up staying in. |
A dangerous demagogue who's doing unspeakable damage to our nation.
http://news.sky.com/story/1718503/fa...t-laughing-now |
Interestingly, the Leave vote is dropping on the poll on this thread. From a high of 70%, it is now 68%. Even on here, which has proved to be overwhelmingly Leave, the change is happening. I wonder how that swing would translate to the wider UK?
It's not just the odd vote, ever since Friday, it has gradually been coming down. Ok, the absolute numbers of votes is low, but I have noticed it each day, creeping down just that little bit. |
Originally Posted by EddScott
(Post 11852141)
the only choice is for the new PM to call an election.
the PM has no power to call an election so we will have to start negotiations before that – but the tricky bit is the EU won’t negotiate before we pull the trigger so we are sort of walking blind in all this |
Originally Posted by andy97
(Post 11852132)
Markets and currency settling down with gains after headless chicken moment
|
Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
(Post 11852147)
We’ve been through this edd
the PM has no power to call an election so we will have to start negotiations before that – but the tricky bit is the EU won’t negotiate before we pull the trigger so we are sort of walking blind in all this The next PM could call an election. They would need to either get 2/3 support in the Commons or use their majority to repeal the Fixed Term Act. Either way an Autumn election is highly likely. |
Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
(Post 11852147)
We’ve been through this edd
the PM has no power to call an election so we will have to start negotiations before that – but the tricky bit is the EU won’t negotiate before we pull the trigger so we are sort of walking blind in all this I didn't know that. I'll be honest, the worry over this is actually keeping me awake :( |
Originally Posted by c_maguire
(Post 11852128)
A second referendum has to be a non-starter.
Refusing to invoke article 50 carries more water. If that were to happen, give it 2 or 3 months and most of the 'Leavers' will have forgotten about it anyway amidst the furore surrounding the next murder/affair in Corrie or Eastenders. |
Originally Posted by JTaylor
(Post 11852144)
A dangerous demagogue who's doing unspeakable damage to our nation.
http://news.sky.com/story/1718503/fa...t-laughing-now |
Originally Posted by Geezer
(Post 11852146)
Interestingly, the Leave vote is dropping on the poll on this thread. From a high of 70%, it is now 68%. Even on here, which has proved to be overwhelmingly Leave, the change is happening. I wonder how that swing would translate to the wider UK?
It's not just the odd vote, ever since Friday, it has gradually been coming down. Ok, the absolute numbers of votes is low, but I have noticed it each day, creeping down just that little bit. the remain campaign (and I am probably as guilty as anyone) of labelling the leavers “thick” they are not “thick”, but they have been wilfully naive and ignorant they have been misled by a clever campaign led by a small nexus of ideologues – campaigning on their genuine fears and playing on the fact that some of the arguments are complicated and people simply don’t have the time / inclination to look behind the rhetoric (on both sides) and work it out for themselves – so now the blame game starts and paradoxically who do they blame - well not themselves, that for sure the Brexiteers (ffree market neo conservative ideologue’s ) use the same tactics as they use in every other “debate” they get involved in I think all the remainers on here would never say the EU is perfect It was always a balance of pros and cons - but that was too nuanced an argument for most people Quite a good rule of thumb in these situations is to trust (with a healthy degree of scepticism) the experts, who by and large backed remain I am not an oncologist – but accept the world’s experts view that smoking causes cancer We see it in the climate change debate, pretty much all the world’s climate scientists accept AGW, a few outliers (in the 10’s) out of 1000’s upon 1000’s of climate scientist try and sway the public AGW is not happening – they rely on the general public simply not having the appetite to do their own research - and their agenda is pushed by the same rehtoric the Brexiteers use (who are ALL climate change deniers) And why should we – that’s why we have experts, no one expect doctors to vote on a course of treatment, that is weighed up by experts And that’s why the referendum imv should never have happened The general public were left with an almost impossible task of sifting through claim and counter claim That’s why a UK parliament, on its own would never have voted OUT, that’s why Margaret Thatcher agreed referendums are not a good idea |
Originally Posted by Devildog
(Post 11852135)
Not at all. It was the "if" that completed the hattrick :thumb:
Don't blame me if you can't understand the written word, dummy! :lol1: |
Originally Posted by alcazar
(Post 11852114)
Highlight us some on here then?
|
Originally Posted by EddScott
(Post 11852154)
Oh sorry. You did say go back but theres 101 pages. It's too much :)
I didn't know that. I'll be honest, the worry over this is actually keeping me awake :( I hope it all works out "lions led by donkeys" |
It's no wonder Europe want us to leave if they have to deal with this dickhead every time they have a meeting
https://youtu.be/PViPAVPQS3k |
On the one hand this a good thing,on the other,it means staying in the single market and still having to contribute to the EU.. Like Norway. |
Originally Posted by JGlanzaV
(Post 11852181)
It's no wonder Europe want us to leave if they have to deal with this dickhead every time they have a meeting
https://youtu.be/PViPAVPQS3k |
Originally Posted by DYK
(Post 11852182)
Britons will continue to be able to live, work and travel freely to other European countries, a privilege the E.U. countries will certainly not grant without reciprocity. He also says that citizens of other E.U. countries living in Britain “will have their rights fully protected
On the one hand this a good thing,on the other,it means staying in the single market and still having to contribute to the EU.. Like Norway. If you had put the referendum question in this context: Remain in the EU orLeave the EU but join the EEA, still pay a contribution, still accept freedom of movement, but have no vote in EU decisions ...I very much doubt that there would have been a vote to leave! In essence, although the subtext to Leave was omitted, anyone with any insight into politics and economics knew this full well! |
Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
(Post 11852164)
the problem is Geezer
the remain campaign (and I am probably as guilty as anyone) of labelling the leavers “thick” they are not “thick”, but they have been wilfully naive and ignorant they have been misled by a clever campaign led by a small nexus of ideologues – campaigning on their genuine fears and playing on the fact that some of the arguments are complicated and people simply don’t have the time / inclination to look behind the rhetoric (on both sides) and work it out for themselves – so now the blame game starts and paradoxically who do they blame - well not themselves, that for sure the Brexiteers (ffree market neo conservative ideologue’s ) use the same tactics as they use in every other “debate” they get involved in I think all the remainers on here would never say the EU is perfect It was always a balance of pros and cons - but that was too nuanced an argument for most people Quite a good rule of thumb in these situations is to trust (with a healthy degree of scepticism) the experts, who by and large backed remain I am not an oncologist – but accept the world’s experts view that smoking causes cancer We see it in the climate change debate, pretty much all the world’s climate scientists accept AGW, a few outliers (in the 10’s) out of 1000’s upon 1000’s of climate scientist try and sway the public AGW is not happening – they rely on the general public simply not having the appetite to do their own research - and their agenda is pushed by the same rehtoric the Brexiteers use (who are ALL climate change deniers) And why should we – that’s why we have experts, no one expect doctors to vote on a course of treatment, that is weighed up by experts And that’s why the referendum imv should never have happened The general public were left with an almost impossible task of sifting through claim and counter claim That’s why a UK parliament, on its own would never have voted OUT, that’s why Margaret Thatcher agreed referendums are not a good idea Wow, willfully :lol1: You naughty brexit folk:D |
Lol, don't bother replying to me Andy97
Speak to Edd, it looks like he bought the bullsh1t you were peddling That know you say you're didn't even believe |
Don't know what fuss is about.
Look at these two, it's almost tongues http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/...-a7106996.html |
Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
(Post 11852209)
Lol, don't bother replying to me Andy97
Speak to Edd, it looks like he bought the bullsh1t you were peddling That know you say you're didn't even believe |
Originally Posted by dpb
(Post 11852211)
Don't know what fuss is about.
Look at these two, it's almost tongues http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/...-a7106996.html Voters don't actually get to decide We live in a democracy where Parliament is sovereign. |
Originally Posted by EddScott
(Post 11852213)
What bullsh1t would that be?
that the 350 million saved to go into public services? that the economic fall out would be minimal (forget the ups and downs of the stock markets / currency the mean diddly squat in the grand scheme of things) we have lost our AAA credit rating from all the credit rating agencies - which will probably mean our debt will cost more to service our short / medium term prospect are being downgraded by just about every single financial agency we are almost certainly heading for another recession and all that - we will probably end up in EEA, paying for the privilege, accepting virtually free movement of labour - but with NO control/influence over rules or regulations |
Hey but we can at least Eat ourselves to death on sugar now without anyone getting in the way. :)
Pluses and minuses |
Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
(Post 11852221)
well where do we start!
that the 350 million saved to go into public services? that the economic fall out would be minimal (forget the ups and downs of the stock markets / currency the mean diddly squat in the grand scheme of things) we have lost our AAA credit rating from all the credit rating agencies - which will probably mean our debt will cost more to service our short / medium term prospect are being downgraded by just about every single financial agency we are almost certainly heading for another recession and all that - we will probably end up in EEA, paying for the privilege, accepting virtually free movement of labour - but with NO control/influence over rules or regulations |
Originally Posted by BMWhere?
(Post 11852214)
This bit made me chuckle... oh the irony :lol1:
I had an inkling about this,when I said yesterday I was little concerned about what will happen,it wasn't about coming out of the EU,it was about the people of the UK. Sticking with the decision and seeing it through to the end.. It going to take a lot of time and patience and belief. And there is little chance on the negotiations that we would not have to compromise. |
I think the only way Britain will be able to trade with the EU if it exits, is by taking in more Immigrants. They are holding all the cards and that will obviously be their trump card they will play. They are doing similar with Turkey.
|
Originally Posted by stevebt
(Post 11852248)
I think the only way Britain will be able to trade with the EU if it exits, is by taking in more Immigrants. They are holding all the cards and that will obviously be their trump card they will play. They are doing similar with Turkey.
To totally come out of the EU is a big thing to stick with and and I don't think the government would ever allow it. Negotiations will always be some trade off,we will give you this,but you must accept this in return.I believe we will stay in the single market,there will obviously be some kind of deal made. |
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 03:42 AM. |
© 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands