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Scottish Independence

Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:14 PM
  #1291  
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Originally Posted by LEO-RS
I find that No voters are less pushy, they are less in your face and they are much more conservative with their views. A lot of No voters are generally older, educated, in professional positions and dare I say it, more financially secure. No voters are less likely to be on facebook shouting from the rafters pushing their views on people.

The Yes campaign however, are the exact opposite, a lot of Yes voters are what you would call the 'proper working class' people with less money and a grudge to bear on Westminster. The kind of people that are voting to oust the Tories or because they are anti-English. They are loud like they are in life and they are pushing their points, somehow you're less Scottish if you're a No voter?

That's probably why the Yes page has 270k likes compared to the No page of 190k likes. The older generations do not have facebook accounts and they are pretty old fashioned with their views that you do not speak about politics or indeed religion publically.

I'm in the undecided camp, I'm on Facebook and this is my opinion based on being bombarded recently mainly from the Yes side. Tories are this and that (This isn't a general Election, but no mention that Labour were in power 1997-2010 to which the Scots DID elect) Everything is Tory this and Tory that. Then the Anti English brigade On the other side though you have Glasgow Rangers fans voting No purely on footballing beliefs.

If you were to believe facebook, the Yes have it in the bag convincingly but we all know that's not true going by all the polls so from that, it's fair to assume that the No camp are far more conservative and less likely to get involved, whereas the Yes are far more pushy and more vocal.

For me, my heart is saying Yes, it would be great to live in our own little bubble and have a government that we voted for that only needs to look after 5.2m people. My head is saying No though, the negatives outweighing the positives, currency, defence, economy etc etc. I'm still undecided but have to say, swaying towards that No vote, life really isn't all that bad as it is if I'm being honest.
You cant honestly say one side has has more educated people than the other because that is just simply untrue.
there are mixtures of people on both sides to be fair.

myself i am a field engineer/ tool specialist with a income that would make the average working mans eyes water with a family and mortgage and i am voting yes not for myself but for the benifit of other people and my sons
i do stand to lose if it were to go **** up but i dont think it will.

my experiance people get pushy when the are lied to
i dont believe facebook thats why i said it was my observation
but it does show peoples reactions to whats going on

me i am yes through and through
vote for what you feel is best that is everyones right
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:14 PM
  #1292  
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Originally Posted by Devildog
Your opnion mate. Enjoy servicing that extra debt

No union means Scotland starts with no liability. And most likely a good credit rating based on its resources. its an asset rich country.

That's one hell of a better place to start from than the ecomony that will be left behind.

Scotlands balance sheet will be significantly healthier from the off than the rest of the uk's it would leave behind. That works for me.
So if Scotland walks away from it's rightful (and moral obligation) share of the debt, how do you see the rest of the separation negotiations going?
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:24 PM
  #1293  
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Originally Posted by john banks
Devildog are you suggesting that personal, present economic performance should be sacrificed on the vague notion that it will be better for following generations? Would you argue that things being better for following generations is more than a vague notion, or is it some Presbyterian type punishment-reward cycle? I might be slightly pejorative, but why should I throw away my security for some pie in the sky nationalist stuff? Where are the specifics?
I think you're over dramatising John.

I'm saying than many of the higher earning, professionally employed "no" camp are so blinkered by the "abhorrent" thought of (for example) an extra 1% on income tax that they are voting no simply on that basis and not looking at the bigger picture or the long term.

And I say that from an equal standing to them.

I'm not talking future security - I'm talking triviality in the bigger picture. Of course if there is an Yes vote and we all end up better off, they'll not be moving to England to complain about how good life is in Scotland.

Whatever happens, there is going to be change. All we can hope and pray for (thanks Sam) is that its for the better.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:31 PM
  #1294  
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
So if Scotland walks away from it's rightful (and moral obligation) share of the debt, how do you see the rest of the separation negotiations going?
Theres no moral obligation under the circumstances that would erquire England, Wales and Ireland to bear 100% of it.

As for the rest, that's up to Westminster.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:33 PM
  #1295  
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Originally Posted by Devildog
This.

Lets look at a slightly larger picture. So BP is on record as saying indepedence is bad and theres not as much oil.

Theres a shocker. Not.

If you had a licence to print money, which licence was free, and you had favourably agreed terms with Westminster over the tax you paid not just on the oil but corporation tax too, would YOU want the status quo to change?

Of course not. The oil companies are first and foremost there to make money for their stakeholders. They are not there to comment on what is best for a Country. Independence may be better for Scotland, but it will not be better for BP. Don't for one second think that BP and others give a toss about anything other than their bottom line.
So you are saying that their position on there being a Yes vote is based on a likelyhood of there being an unfavourable agreement with iScotland which would affect their profits. Surely this will will have a knock on effect and impact the financial viability of drilling for more oil for Scotland.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:34 PM
  #1296  
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I'm not worried about 1% on income tax, I juggle things to avoid 62% marginal rate and assuming I'm fed and watered will choose how much to work depending on tax thresholds as I do now. I'm actually worried about losing say half or more of my net worth. No one can say how far the avalanche will fall if it does.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:36 PM
  #1297  
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I have read that if the UK get arsy about negotiations around currency union (in what ever form that may take)

then an independent Scotland can scupper our seat on the UN security council


http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/1957...te1%5B1%5D.pdf

"While legally the UK’s case for continued UN membership (including permanent membership) is relatively strong, the danger is that politically, unless the situation is managed (so that the other permanent members and key states raise no objections), Scottish independence could potentially be used by the non-permanent members of the UNSC and the rest of the UN membership (especially those states pushing to become new permanent members), to revisit the issue of permanent membership and wider UNSC
reform (a debate that has been rumbling since the early 1990s). It is noticeable that at the recent annual session of the UN General Assembly, a number of heads of state and government spoke about the need for UN reform, particularly of the UNSC."
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:37 PM
  #1298  
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Originally Posted by Devildog
Theres no moral obligation under the circumstances that would erquire England, Wales and Ireland to bear 100% of it.

As for the rest, that's up to Westminster.
So money spent in Scotland by Scottish politicians results in no moral obligation. WOW that's pretty sick
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:38 PM
  #1299  
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Originally Posted by Devildog
Your opnion mate. Enjoy servicing that extra debt

No union means Scotland starts with no liability. And most likely a good credit rating based on its resources. its an asset rich country.

That's one hell of a better place to start from than the ecomony that will be left behind.

Scotlands balance sheet will be significantly healthier from the off than the rest of the uk's it would leave behind. That works for me.
There is no extra debt!! The national debt remains the same as before. What rUK will take on is the proportion of interest payments on the 8.3% of the national debt Scotland pays which rUK would absorb.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:45 PM
  #1300  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
I have read that if the UK get arsy about negotiations around currency union (in what ever form that may take)

then an independent Scotland can scupper our seat on the UN security council


http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/1957...te1%5B1%5D.pdf

"While legally the UK’s case for continued UN membership (including permanent membership) is relatively strong, the danger is that politically, unless the situation is managed (so that the other permanent members and key states raise no objections), Scottish independence could potentially be used by the non-permanent members of the UNSC and the rest of the UN membership (especially those states pushing to become new permanent members), to revisit the issue of permanent membership and wider UNSC
reform (a debate that has been rumbling since the early 1990s). It is noticeable that at the recent annual session of the UN General Assembly, a number of heads of state and government spoke about the need for UN reform, particularly of the UNSC."
It's OK - When Russia had the same issue they just said we're keeping our seat.

We'll do the same.

If they get arsey we can always nuke the *****.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:48 PM
  #1301  
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a good straightforward assessment of the situation. Scotland voting yes is a vote for economic and societal suicide. The hate that is directed to us "oppressing" English is such that I say don't let the door hit you on the **** on the way out to your doom. Madmen!

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance...ence-would-be/
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:53 PM
  #1302  
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Originally Posted by jonc
There is no extra debt!! The national debt remains the same as before. What rUK will take on is the proportion of interest payments on the 8.3% of the national debt Scotland pays which rUK would absorb.
Calm down

Agreed - I should have typed "liability"
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 02:57 PM
  #1303  
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Originally Posted by Devildog
Your opnion mate. Enjoy servicing that extra debt

No union means Scotland starts with no liability. And most likely a good credit rating based on its resources. its an asset rich country.

That's one hell of a better place to start from than the ecomony that will be left behind.

Scotlands balance sheet will be significantly healthier from the off than the rest of the uk's it would leave behind. That works for me.
I don't mean to be rude, but you really have no understanding of economics, capital markets and government bonds and rate setting.

So it's going to take me 11 years to pay off my credit card instead of 10 years. But a least my ex won't still be using it... I'll pay up.

And there'll be a flight of capital southward because, for example, your central bank couldn't afford to provide the £85,000 deposit guarantee (or any other investment guarantee) available on bank accounts and investments over the border.

And, if your scenario is so good, how come it's not Salmond's "Plan A"?
After all the markets love a sure-fire investment and you make it sound like such a wonderful opportunity it ought to be like an over-subscribed privatisation offer. But, the truth is, the markets aren't buying it.

If he were truthful Salmond would tell you what he already knows but he can't say: You'd be best off with the Euro. At least you'd have Germany to underwrite your debt. But he can't sell that, can he?

Hopefully, most of Scotland isn't as deluded you.

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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 03:52 PM
  #1304  
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Originally Posted by SouthWalesSam
I don't mean to be rude, but you really have no understanding of economics, capital markets and government bonds and rate setting.

So it's going to take me 11 years to pay off my credit card instead of 10 years. But a least my ex won't still be using it... I'll pay up.

And there'll be a flight of capital southward because, for example, your central bank couldn't afford to provide the £85,000 deposit guarantee (or any other investment guarantee) available on bank accounts and investments over the border.

And, if your scenario is so good, how come it's not Salmond's "Plan A"?
After all the markets love a sure-fire investment and you make it sound like such a wonderful opportunity it ought to be like an over-subscribed privatisation offer. But, the truth is, the markets aren't buying it.

If he were truthful Salmond would tell you what he already knows but he can't say: You'd be best off with the Euro. At least you'd have Germany to underwrite your debt. But he can't sell that, can he?

Hopefully, most of Scotland isn't as deluded you.
I'll bite

Sam, please don't presume that I have no understanding.

I was trying to keep it very simple. That tends to work best around here.

I've already accepted that "extra debt" wasn't the correct terminology. But your analogy doesn't really work either. Its not exactly as simple as taking an extra year to pay off a credit card is it? - and if you are as knowledgeable as you are insinuating, you'd know that too.

By the way - its not "my" scenario. I've never professed it to be. Its just one scenario.

What the markets are not buying right now is uncertainty. Pure and simple.

The vast majority of the independent and educated commentary supports the contention that Scotland is quite capable of going it alone, whatever the currency outcome.

I'm far from delluded Sam. I know there are many uncertainties. That was always going to be the case. It might work, it might not. Just because I choose to support the positive does not make me delusional. Thats the problem with a forum. It can be hard to guage the sentment behind the posts. I might say the the manner of your posts makes you an arrogant, condescending ****, not accepting of any alternate point of view, who always believes he is correct and states opinion as fact. But I've been around here long enough to know that's probably not the case
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 04:14 PM
  #1305  
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There are many uncertainties, one of which are the figures used by John Swinney with regards to oil revenue only to be downgraded by Alex Salmond. Sure you have Westminsters three stooges up in Scotland, but iScotland will have Dumb and Dumber running iScotland.

http://forargyll.com/2014/09/jackie-...es-projection/
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 08:06 PM
  #1306  
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Originally Posted by Devildog
I might say the the manner of your posts makes you an arrogant, condescending ****, not accepting of any alternate point of view, who always believes he is correct and states opinion as fact. But I've been around here long enough to know that's probably not the case
And once again you'd be wrong.

Let's be clear. Ask anyone on here. I am arrogant on my subjects, I am condescending and I'm a first class, number 1 ****. And I hate it when people avoid the facts or bang on like they know what they're talking about when they haven't a clue.

But my bluster, flannel, question avoider and bull plop alarms are pointing at your "answers" and they're ringing off the scale right now.

And you still haven't answered my question.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 08:35 PM
  #1307  
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Originally Posted by SouthWalesSam
And once again you'd be wrong.

Let's be clear. Ask anyone on here. I am arrogant on my subjects, I am condescending and I'm a first class, number 1 ****. And I hate it when people avoid the facts or bang on like they know what they're talking about when they haven't a clue.

But my bluster, flannel, question avoider and bull plop alarms are pointing at your "answers" and they're ringing off the scale right now.

And you still haven't answered my question.
tell me this SWS, if "the markets" told you to take a dump in your pants - would you?

I strongly suspect you would - it is "the markets" after all

and apart the last global financial collapse, they get most things right - right

Last edited by hodgy0_2; Sep 11, 2014 at 08:36 PM.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 08:39 PM
  #1308  
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They may not, but sadly, in a capitalist world, they control a LOT of what happens to us.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:04 PM
  #1309  
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Originally Posted by alcazar
They may not, but sadly, in a capitalist world, they control a LOT of what happens to us.
Yep, theres no such thing as independence these days the world is getting smaller with things like the internet and what happens in America happens here. Best just to have more legs so its harder to get knocked down when things go **** up, just look àt what happened to some of the other European countries when the global financial crisis happened.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:07 PM
  #1310  
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Originally Posted by alcazar
They may not, but sadly, in a capitalist world, they control a LOT of what happens to us.
Maybe they want to try a different approach to the accepted neo liberal economic laissez fare-ism that we have imported from the US and slavishly follow
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:14 PM
  #1311  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
tell me this SWS, if "the markets" told you to take a dump in your pants - would you? I strongly suspect you would - it is "the markets" after all

and apart the last global financial collapse, they get most things right - right
Depends. If they were my Pringles; only so long as there'd be enough in it to fund the clean up, nip down to TK Maxx and buy new ones and have enough left over to show a profit. My lucky D&Gs: no way, they were a present!

....Yes. Right. The cash machines are still working. How come? Printing money and increasing govt borrowing. Borrowing from, er....? whisper it.... "the markets".

Still doesn't answer the question, but nice digression though.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:23 PM
  #1312  
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Just watching some racing at Knockhill and wondered if any championship that starts off with "British" would be lost to Knockhill?
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:27 PM
  #1313  
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Without doubt, the world's most iconic brand. Potentially devalued. It would be a tragedy and an unforgiveable mistake.

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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:38 PM
  #1314  
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Originally Posted by SouthWalesSam
Depends. If they were my Pringles; only so long as there'd be enough in it to fund the clean up, nip down to TK Maxx and buy new ones and have enough left over to show a profit. My lucky D&Gs: no way, they were a present!

....Yes. Right. The cash machines are still working. How come? Printing money and increasing govt borrowing. Borrowing from, er....? whisper it.... "the markets".

Still doesn't answer the question, but nice digression though.
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Are you saying that a Scottish economy is incapable of generating cash

Oh and the economy is a lot more than "the markets"

Last edited by hodgy0_2; Sep 11, 2014 at 09:40 PM.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:44 PM
  #1315  
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http://news.stv.tv/scotland/291608-r...and-votes-yes/

Obviously this can't be true as it was heavily argued it could never happen, and simply not possible oppps pmsl.

I'll leave it to those that continue to guess and simply surf the web for answers.

I'll pop by in a few days to see if some have caught up with reality.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:48 PM
  #1316  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2

Oh and the economy is a lot more than "the markets"
Is it even pat down at the local shop has to adjust her prices because of global markets, milk is affected by global feed costs, the wholesalers that sell pat her lìon bars are as well and so on.
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:54 PM
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Originally Posted by ScottishRayman
http://news.stv.tv/scotland/291608-r...and-votes-yes/

Obviously this can't be true as it was heavily argued it could never happen, and simply not possible oppps pmsl.

I'll leave it to those that continue to guess and simply surf the web for answers.

I'll pop by in a few days to see if some have caught up with reality.
Can you articulate what practice difference this would make to Scotland

Are you aware that Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, all trade quite happily in the UK and are registered in Ireland, Luxembourg, Venus and Alpha Centuri respectively
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 09:57 PM
  #1318  
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Originally Posted by chris j t
Is it even pat down at the local shop has to adjust her prices because of global markets, milk is affected by global feed costs, the wholesalers that sell pat her lìon bars are as well and so on.
Yes it is, SWS will explain
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 10:00 PM
  #1319  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
Yes it is, SWS will explain
Good answer, I now hang on your every word
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Old Sep 11, 2014 | 10:04 PM
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Originally Posted by ScottishRayman
http://news.stv.tv/scotland/291608-r...and-votes-yes/

Obviously this can't be true as it was heavily argued it could never happen, and simply not possible oppps pmsl.

I'll leave it to those that continue to guess and simply surf the web for answers.

I'll pop by in a few days to see if some have caught up with reality.
Doesn't matter, they will still have cash generators and pawnbrokers.
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