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Old 20 November 2008, 04:21 PM
  #31  
Kieran_Burns
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Kieran, how many millions of pounds would you like to bet that the ozone hole is, on average, bigger this year than last year (but not at 2006's peak)? I'll do five million if you like?

but you're just betting on weather patterns, not lowered pollutants
Old 20 November 2008, 04:23 PM
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I'm not betting on anything, Kieran, i'm just using the same criteria you did, ie the size of the ozone hole. That's my whole point, this subject seems to blinker people like few others, i'm probably just as guilty in some respects. It's the sweeping assumptions about how hapless we are as a race to this whole thing that never cease to astonish me though. As if anyone here actually knows.
Old 20 November 2008, 04:24 PM
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Not reading any more, not when assumptions of this magnitude are being made.

At the end of the day, YOU DO NOT KNOW FOR SURE THAT THIS IS TRUE. You just believe the "political scam/taxation" side of the story. Fair enough, but don't start stating "facts" like the above with absolutely zero foundation.
please any basic knowledge of geograhy will tell that the earth is 4 thousand million years old

hold that thought -- thats a long time

Africa used to sit next to South America ffs -- are you seriously saying that we can extert that much influence over the path the earth is going to take in the next 100 -200 - 300 thousand years -- still not very long in geological terms

expand your mind -- we are a geological aberation

Last edited by hodgy0_2; 20 November 2008 at 04:26 PM.
Old 20 November 2008, 04:26 PM
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We are also unique in our ability to affect our environment adversely. Expand your mind, we might just be responsible. Just imagine.
Old 20 November 2008, 04:30 PM
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
We are also unique in our ability to affect our environment adversely. Expand your mind, we might just be responsible. Just imagine.
telboy -- you dont get -- yes we are resposible i dont deny that -- and nothing in my previous post do i say global warming is a myth etc

we ARE ****ing up the planet -- all i,m saying is we are doing to ourselves ultimatley -- the planet will survive

so why dont we start looking after people --- something that we could do rather than expending energy -- excuse the pun on things we ultimatly cant do
Old 20 November 2008, 04:31 PM
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Not reading any more, not when assumptions of this magnitude are being made.

At the end of the day, YOU DO NOT KNOW FOR SURE THAT THIS IS TRUE. You just believe the "political scam/taxation" side of the story. Fair enough, but don't start stating "facts" like the above with absolutely zero foundation.
Even if you believe in AGW, a moments thought will demonstrate that this is correct. The Earth was an unimaginably harsh environment for the first few billion years, yet it was transformed by mico-organisms into what we now have. They evolved from just a collection of amino acids and various other compounds, and became all this.

So, even if we wipe the earth clean of all large life, it will recover. Saving the planet is bollox.

Humans are so arrogant and think on such a small scale.

Geezer
Old 20 November 2008, 04:33 PM
  #37  
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Yeah it'll survive, granted, but how much human suffering are we ok to allow, just by assuming we can't do anything about it, rather than changing our behaviour and trying - given what we know - to make a difference out there. I just don't get the resigned attitude of many. Maybe it's at odds with the lifestyle they wish to continue to enjoy, so on a subconscious level it's easier to discard it as a buch of nonsense. Perhaps.
Old 20 November 2008, 04:35 PM
  #38  
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Six billion people is small scale, Geezer? Er, ok.
Old 20 November 2008, 04:40 PM
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Corse the world will survive whatever we do - it could very well make it more difficult to live in it tho
Old 20 November 2008, 04:45 PM
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Six billion people is small scale, Geezer? Er, ok.
When you consider how much life has been on the earth in the last 4.5 billion years, then yes.

Geezer
Old 20 November 2008, 04:47 PM
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Six billion people is small scale, Geezer? Er, ok.

Ah yes - the old BIG NUMBERS argument.

In fact 6 billion human being is a very small number. Those 6 billion people make up about 1/3 of 1 per cent of the total biomass of the planet.

I reckon that looks pretty small scale
Old 20 November 2008, 04:55 PM
  #42  
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Originally Posted by hutton_d
The old saying 'tell a lie often enough and loud enough and it becomes the truth' springs to mind.

And Obama would sign up to it 'cos a) he has to some things that Bush didn't just to have clear daylight between policies, b) because of what I said above in that the democrats are into nanny-state and power over the proles (just as NuLab are over here!) and c) he knows that he has to find money from somewhere in the current economic climate and where better than that old fave 'Save the Planet???

Dave
These are all great conspiracies Dave, but as usual you have to fall back on familiar territory.
It is quite likely that Obama is about to bail-out (hardly a great tax raiser) the US car manufacturing industry, in return he's going to insist they start building more efficient cars....where the conspiracy in that (i'm sure you'll find one)?

I'd love to know what people think governments should be doing when they are given the best scientific advise available ALL OF WHICH tells them they need to take action.

Last edited by Martin2005; 20 November 2008 at 05:02 PM.
Old 20 November 2008, 04:57 PM
  #43  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
please any basic knowledge of geograhy will tell that the earth is 4 thousand million years old

hold that thought -- thats a long time

Africa used to sit next to South America ffs -- are you seriously saying that we can extert that much influence over the path the earth is going to take in the next 100 -200 - 300 thousand years -- still not very long in geological terms

expand your mind -- we are a geological aberation
I struggle to understand the point of this post, are you saying that therefore if mankinds existence is seriously threatened, that's OK???

NOBODY EVER SAID THE PLANET WAS IN DANGER.....EVER
Old 20 November 2008, 05:01 PM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by Kieran_Burns
Martin, with all due respect I hope you're being sarcastic with that post, because there are no circumstances under which I could take the comments seriously.



Why? Did Obama not win the Presidency? Is he not going to insist on tougher emissions targets for the US? Is there not a serious danger that we are in the process of damaging the environment?

Which bits of those statements of fact can't you take seriously?

Just because you don't want to believe doesn't mean that it's all going to go away

Last edited by Martin2005; 20 November 2008 at 05:13 PM.
Old 20 November 2008, 05:05 PM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by Kieran_Burns
Ah yes - the old BIG NUMBERS argument.

In fact 6 billion human being is a very small number. Those 6 billion people make up about 1/3 of 1 per cent of the total biomass of the planet.

I reckon that looks pretty small scale
OK Kieran. You seem fairly sure of yourself on this subject, I'd love to know where that certainty comes from, what info do you have that governments and science at large to not have.
And if you do have this info I think it's important that you hand it on to the relevant authorities
Old 20 November 2008, 05:51 PM
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If you want to play the numbers game, let's talk about what we should do about mitigating Toba or Yellowstone erupting again (and this is when, not if, unlike AGW).

You'll have far bigger problems then than a few degrees of warming, try 16 degrees of cooling worldwide, 80% of plant life dying, agricultural land made infertile due to the ash. A billion or more people will die within the first few months, who nows how many overall.

Now that's a disaster, all AGW proposes is a bit of desert and a little bit of sea level rise (which is constantly happening anyway). The earth changes environment all the time, there is nothing we can do about it.

Geezer
Old 20 November 2008, 05:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
OK Kieran. You seem fairly sure of yourself on this subject, I'd love to know where that certainty comes from, what info do you have that governments and science at large to not have.
And if you do have this info I think it's important that you hand it on to the relevant authorities

Martin, the problem is that the information is freely available but the authorities choose to ignore it.
Old 20 November 2008, 05:59 PM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by stilover
Why let the truth get in the way of a money making Tax policy?
(forgive me if this has been around for a while, i don't normally get involved with any billing)
i saw the electric bill at work and noticed they have a climate change levy, i mean WTF, they charge for some made up nonsense and claim it's not another tax?!

told the boss to send it back minus the levy claiming it infringed his human rights to be forced into paying something he didn't believe in

climate change................or as most people know it, weather
Old 20 November 2008, 06:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Kieran_Burns
Martin, the problem is that the information is freely available but the authorities choose to ignore it.
I almost completely certain that this statement is a belief rather than a fact
Old 20 November 2008, 06:54 PM
  #50  
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
I struggle to understand the point of this post, are you saying that therefore if mankinds existence is seriously threatened, that's OK???

NOBODY EVER SAID THE PLANET WAS IN DANGER.....EVER
now we are getting somewhere

my point is -- as seems to be accepted, that the "save the planet" argument is rubbish

its humanity isnt it -- thats whats important

why then in 2008 do most children in the world simply die thru lack of access to clean water -- its not rocket science

why do a three quarters of the worlds population live on a less than a dollar a day


these are the "'An Inconvenient Truths" that Al Gore "et al" should be banging on about not muddying waters with load of crap about "saving the planet"

I would never deny we are f*cking up the planet -- its just we seem to have more pressing problems

and i repeat my earlier statement

"in a world were we can sit by and watch 500 thousand humans get machetted to death in Africa is a world were people are not going to care to much about a glacier retreating 2 feet a year -- especially when it hits them in the pocket -- as we are seeing right now"
Old 20 November 2008, 07:10 PM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
I almost completely certain that this statement is a belief rather than a fact
Rather like AGW then. You believe it to be true, I do not. Who is right? Neither you or me are climate scientists, so we can only go on what we can read from others and weigh up the likeliness of who is correct based upon our limited scientific knowledge and our logical reasoning.

Like the climate scientists themselves, we have differing opinions, and that's all they are. No one has proved that AGW is true, yet people take it as Gospel.

I do not ignore the evidence for it, but all things considered, IMO it is not a compelling case.

Geezer
Old 20 November 2008, 07:14 PM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
now we are getting somewhere

my point is -- as seems to be accepted, that the "save the planet" argument is rubbish

its humanity isnt it -- thats whats important

why then in 2008 do most children in the world simply die thru lack of access to clean water -- its not rocket science

why do a three quarters of the worlds population live on a less than a dollar a day


these are the "'An Inconvenient Truths" that Al Gore "et al" should be banging on about not muddying waters with load of crap about "saving the planet"

I would never deny we are f*cking up the planet -- its just we seem to have more pressing problems

and i repeat my earlier statement

"in a world were we can sit by and watch 500 thousand humans get machetted to death in Africa is a world were people are not going to care to much about a glacier retreating 2 feet a year -- especially when it hits them in the pocket -- as we are seeing right now"
I totally agree with everything you say here, I share your views on this.

It should be remembered though that the effects of GW will be most keenly felt by those who already suffer the most.
Old 20 November 2008, 07:16 PM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by Geezer
Rather like AGW then. You believe it to be true, I do not. Who is right? Neither you or me are climate scientists, so we can only go on what we can read from others and weigh up the likeliness of who is correct based upon our limited scientific knowledge and our logical reasoning.

Like the climate scientists themselves, we have differing opinions, and that's all they are. No one has proved that AGW is true, yet people take it as Gospel.

I do not ignore the evidence for it, but all things considered, IMO it is not a compelling case.

Geezer
I think it basically comes down to a 'balance of probability' arguement, which of course had been well and truly made by the scientific majority
Old 20 November 2008, 07:21 PM
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The world is flat
Old 20 November 2008, 07:25 PM
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"It should be remembered though that the effects of GW will be most keenly felt by those who already suffer the most."

likewise -- totally agree with you martin and thats the real scandal

I think we both agree its about people
Old 20 November 2008, 08:29 PM
  #57  
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Originally Posted by hutton_d
Let me say that GW *may* or *may not* be happening. But there is NO way that we are able to tell from a *few* years of temperature measurements (few in terms of the age of the earth) the average temperature of the planet. Even if it was possible to measure it anyway. And it is the average temperature that the IPCC are saying (even they couch their conclusions with *possiblys* and *maybes* ...) will 'increase' and 'be detrimental' to life on earth .... etc etc

I've said in these monthly GW threads before that there is NO way that we can measure an *average* temperature for the whole planet. But people like yourself say 'but you're not qualified'. I'll repeat, you only need primary school maths/theory to come to that conclusion.

Let's take 'average'. How is it defined: average is the quotient obtained by dividing the sum total of a set of figures by the number of figures. So some sort of 'middle' number. The 'set of figures' is the temperature record. First problem - how often do you measure the temperature? Every hour? Every minute? etc etc

Go look at Jennifer Marohasy The Absurdity of a Reliable Average Global Surface Temperature

(Oh, it talks about things such as thermodynamics. Before you rush in 'you're not qualified' etc - my degree was Mechanical Engineering, concentrating on Fluid Dynamics and Thermodynamics ...)

Two paragrapha from that article: " ... You can, of course, put a measurement instrument close to one part and record the apparent transient temperature. If the measurement is continuous you might even derive some sort of average temperature at that point. But there is no way that one could carry out sufficient measurements, distributed in a representative way, so that any sort of global average temperature could be derived. The climate scientists connected with the IPCC do, however, claim not only that they have measured average global temperature, but that this has been carried out with such accuracy that an increase of less than one degree Celsius over 100 years could be confidently related to increased emissions of greenhouse gases over the period, rather than to the errors of the measurement. ... ".


So how can the IPCC blithly ignore basic mathmatical and physical theory?


Just this simple fact (there can be no *average* temperature, certainly not any that we are capable of measuring) throws the whole AGW baby out with the bathwater and show it to be the money-grabbing (governments and individuals such as Al Gore who will profit personally and substantially from so-called 'carbon trading' - set up partially as a results of Gore's alarmist 'assertions' on AGW .. doh ......) and/or social engineering process that it really is.


You want to believe - fine, go ahead. I'll concentrate on living my life as I see fit and not how central stasi, whoops, government want me to live it (whilst they are snouts to the trough at our expense!!). As someone above said, wake up and smell the coffee.


Dave
Although this is a favourite hobby horse of yours, it doesn't really change the fact that the earths average temp must of increased over the past 4 decades. Did you not notice the fact that we have glacial melting and a loss of the icecap mass, maybe someone should tell them that average temp measurement is floored.

I agree with the point about read average temps, BUT IT'S THE TREND THAT MATTERS

I have always believe that there are always consequence to actions, and to deny this is to deny a very basic law of nature and science

Last edited by Martin2005; 20 November 2008 at 08:46 PM.
Old 20 November 2008, 10:15 PM
  #58  
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When this sucker lets go;

Krakatoa - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

as it will, and as it's Daddy did 125 or so years ago, and dumps a couple of billion tonnes of dust and ash into the atmosphere, the last thing on any of these eco mentalists minds will be global warming

Last edited by CrisPDuk; 20 November 2008 at 10:49 PM.


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